Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 03/10, 17:00

Prediction: Nove Veseli vs Dukla Praha

Team pages: Nove Veseli · Dukla Praha

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.1Total

Nove Veseli29.1

Dukla Praha29

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

Nove Veseli Dukla Praha

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Nove Veseli 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Dukla Praha 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Nove Veseli 1–1–4 Dukla Praha (6 last)

Nove Veseli31-38Dukla Praha
Dukla Praha31-27Nove Veseli
Nove Veseli25-25Dukla Praha
Nove Veseli33-29Dukla Praha
Dukla Praha25-22Nove Veseli
Dukla Praha33-31Nove Veseli

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nove Veseli 1481 · Dukla Praha 1497

	Nove Veseli	Dukla Praha
Our model	58%	42%
Market	36%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 58.1 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.1Nove Veseli 29.1 · Dukla Praha 29

Match keys

H2H favours Dukla Praha: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nove Veseli	Dukla Praha
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.1 / 26.2	32.9 / 30
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.6 / 22.6	37.2 / 29.4
Est. result	29	29

Est. total58.1

Line O/U58.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.50

X8.00

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 0.9 · Est. total: 57.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:17 +3’	2.50	8.00	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nove Veseli 1–1–4 Dukla Praha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	31-38	Dukla Praha
26/09/25 Czechia Extraliga	Dukla Praha	31-27	Nove Veseli
30/03/25 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	25-25	Dukla Praha
29/03/25 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	33-29	Dukla Praha
22/03/25 Czechia Extraliga	Dukla Praha	25-22	Nove Veseli
21/03/25 Czechia Extraliga	Dukla Praha	33-31	Nove Veseli

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	4	4	0	0	139	116	8
2	Talent Plzen	4	3	1	0	117	103	7
3	Dukla Praha	4	3	0	1	153	119	6
4	HC Zubri	4	3	0	1	120	103	6
5	Nove Veseli	4	3	0	1	113	99	6
6	HK Lovosice	4	2	1	1	132	120	5
7	HBC Jicin	4	2	0	2	113	112	4
8	HC Zlin	4	1	0	3	108	123	2
9	KH Koprivnice	4	1	0	3	101	116	2
10	KP Brno 1920	4	1	0	3	103	125	2
11	HC Frydek-Mistek	4	0	0	4	101	130	0
12	HBC Strakonice 1921	4	0	0	4	116	150	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nove Veseli	Dukla Praha
Talent Plzen	23-29 L	24-27 L
HC Frydek-Mistek	25-14 W	42-27 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dukla Praha (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nove Veseli

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	23-29	L
19/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	27-23	W
13/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	30-22	W
05/09	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	33-25	W
29/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	25-14	W
25/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	26-34	L
17/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	26-28	L
10/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	32-33	L
03/04	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	24-26	L
29/03	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	15-28	L

Dukla Praha

LDLWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	42-27	W
19/09	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	39-26	W
13/09	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	42-31	W
05/09	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	30-35	L
02/05	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	33-28	W
29/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	31-35	L
25/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	33-31	W
18/04	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	24-27	L
17/04	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	29-29	D
12/04	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	26-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nove Veseli vs Dukla Praha?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Nove Veseli 48% · Dukla Praha 52%).

How many points are expected in Nove Veseli vs Dukla Praha?

The model estimates 58.1 total points (Nove Veseli 29.1 · Dukla Praha 29).