Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 03/10, 18:00

Prediction: HK Lovosice vs Banik Karvina

Team pages: HK Lovosice · Banik Karvina

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.5Total

HK Lovosice31.9

Banik Karvina29.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

46% 54%

HK Lovosice Banik Karvina

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HK Lovosice 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWWDL

Banik Karvina 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLWWWW

Head-to-head

HK Lovosice 1–5 Banik Karvina (6 last)

Banik Karvina29-24HK Lovosice
Banik Karvina37-38HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice30-34Banik Karvina
Banik Karvina35-23HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice30-31Banik Karvina
Banik Karvina34-26HK Lovosice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HK Lovosice 1523 · Banik Karvina 1515

	HK Lovosice	Banik Karvina
Our model	61%	39%
Market	32%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 61.5 points · Bet365 line 61.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.5HK Lovosice 31.9 · Banik Karvina 29.6

Match keys

H2H favours Banik Karvina: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HK Lovosice	Banik Karvina
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 29.3	31.2 / 29.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32 / 30.6	33.4 / 29
Est. result	32	30

Est. total61.5

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.80

X8.50

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 1 · Est. total: 60.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
08:20 +4’	2.80	8.50	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Lovosice 1–0–5 Banik Karvina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/03/26 Czechia Extraliga	Banik Karvina	29-24	HK Lovosice
28/02/26 Czechia Cup	Banik Karvina	37-38	HK Lovosice
11/11/25 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	30-34	Banik Karvina
26/04/25 Czechia Extraliga	Banik Karvina	35-23	HK Lovosice
22/04/25 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	30-31	Banik Karvina
12/04/25 Czechia Extraliga	Banik Karvina	34-26	HK Lovosice

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	4	4	0	0	139	116	8
2	Talent Plzen	4	3	1	0	117	103	7
3	Dukla Praha	4	3	0	1	153	119	6
4	HC Zubri	4	3	0	1	120	103	6
5	Nove Veseli	4	3	0	1	113	99	6
6	HK Lovosice	4	2	1	1	132	120	5
7	HBC Jicin	4	2	0	2	113	112	4
8	HC Zlin	4	1	0	3	108	123	2
9	KH Koprivnice	4	1	0	3	101	116	2
10	KP Brno 1920	4	1	0	3	103	125	2
11	HC Frydek-Mistek	4	0	0	4	101	130	0
12	HBC Strakonice 1921	4	0	0	4	116	150	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HK Lovosice	Banik Karvina
Dukla Praha	26-39 L	35-30 W
Talent Plzen	29-29 D	28-29 L
KP Brno 1920	38-23 W	38-24 W
HC Zubri	25-30 L	31-30 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HK Lovosice

WWLWWLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	26-39	L
13/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	29-29	D
05/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	36-26	W
01/05	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	38-23	W
24/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	31-36	L
18/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	27-22	W
12/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	36-31	W
08/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	25-30	L
05/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	36-33	W
04/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	28-24	W

Banik Karvina

WWWLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	38-24	W
19/09	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	35-32	W
15/09	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	31-30	W
05/09	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	35-30	W
09/05	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	28-29	L
03/05	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	24-31	L
02/05	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	25-29	L
26/04	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	27-23	W
25/04	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	35-34	W
22/04	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	34-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HK Lovosice vs Banik Karvina?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HK Lovosice 46% · Banik Karvina 54%).

How many points are expected in HK Lovosice vs Banik Karvina?

The model estimates 61.5 total points (HK Lovosice 31.9 · Banik Karvina 29.6).