Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 28/10, 18:00

Prediction: HC Zubri vs HK Lovosice

Team pages: HC Zubri · HK Lovosice

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.1Total

HC Zubri31.1

HK Lovosice29

1X2

62% 38%

HC Zubri HK Lovosice

Markets

Over 56.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

HC Zubri 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWWLDW

HK Lovosice 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLLWWW

Head-to-head

HC Zubri 2–1–3 HK Lovosice (6 last)

HC Zubri30-25HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice36-33HC Zubri
HK Lovosice28-24HC Zubri
HC Zubri30-30HK Lovosice
HC Zubri36-28HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice33-26HC Zubri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Zubri 1511 · HK Lovosice 1522

	HC Zubri	HK Lovosice
Our model	58%	42%
Market	56%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 60.1 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +3.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.1HC Zubri 31.1 · HK Lovosice 29

Over / Under 56.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~58.5 pts · strength 2

Match keys

H2H favours HK Lovosice: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Zubri	HK Lovosice
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.6 / 28.7	30.4 / 28.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 29.2	28.6 / 29.8
Est. result	31	29

Est. total60.1

Line O/U56.5

Diff.3.6

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 2.6 · Est. total: 59.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:11 +4’	1.60	8.00	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Zubri 2–1–3 HK Lovosice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/04/26 Czechia Extraliga	HC Zubri	30-25	HK Lovosice
05/04/26 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	36-33	HC Zubri
04/04/26 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	28-24	HC Zubri
29/03/26 Czechia Extraliga	HC Zubri	30-30	HK Lovosice
28/03/26 Czechia Extraliga	HC Zubri	36-28	HK Lovosice
17/12/25 Czechia Cup	HK Lovosice	33-26	HC Zubri

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	8	8	0	0	262	216	16
2	Talent Plzen	8	6	1	1	251	227	13
3	HC Zubri	8	5	1	2	243	223	11
4	HK Lovosice	8	5	1	2	249	230	11
5	Dukla Praha	7	5	0	2	259	204	10
6	Nove Veseli	8	5	0	3	233	219	10
7	KP Brno 1920	7	4	0	3	200	208	8
8	HBC Jicin	8	3	0	5	225	239	6
9	HBC Strakonice 1921	8	1	1	6	233	266	3
10	KH Koprivnice	8	1	0	7	205	238	2
11	HC Frydek-Mistek	8	1	0	7	209	252	2
12	HC Zlin	8	1	0	7	218	265	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Zubri	HK Lovosice
Dukla Praha	33-32 W	26-39 L
Talent Plzen	27-30 L	29-29 D
HBC Jicin	33-28 W	36-26 W
KP Brno 1920	28-19 W	38-23 W
Banik Karvina	30-31 L	27-29 L
HC Zlin	32-27 W	33-27 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HK Lovosice (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Zubri

WLWLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	33-32	W
14/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	30-30	D
11/10	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	27-30	L
03/10	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	33-28	W
26/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	30-26	W
23/09	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	28-19	W
15/09	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	30-31	L
06/09	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	32-27	W
02/05	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	28-33	L
29/04	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	35-31	W

HK Lovosice

WLWWDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	33-27	W
17/10	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	28-27	W
10/10	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	29-27	W
03/10	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	27-29	L
19/09	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	26-39	L
13/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	29-29	D
05/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	36-26	W
01/05	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	38-23	W
24/04	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	31-36	L
18/04	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	27-22	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Zubri vs HK Lovosice?

Our model gives 62% to HC Zubri.

How many points are expected in HC Zubri vs HK Lovosice?

The model estimates 60.1 total points (HC Zubri 31.1 · HK Lovosice 29).

Over or under 56.5 points?

Recent history points to over 56.5 points (65%).