Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Team Tvis Holstebro vs Skjern Handbold

Team pages: Team Tvis Holstebro · Skjern Handbold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.3Total

Team Tvis Holstebro31.3

Skjern Handbold31

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Team Tvis Holstebro Skjern Handbold

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Team Tvis Holstebro 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWWLDL

Skjern Handbold 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Team Tvis Holstebro 2–1–3 Skjern Handbold (6 last)

Skjern Handbold27-25Team Tvis Holstebro
Team Tvis Holstebro29-26Skjern Handbold
Team Tvis Holstebro30-30Skjern Handbold
Skjern Handbold25-29Team Tvis Holstebro
Skjern Handbold30-29Team Tvis Holstebro
Team Tvis Holstebro22-26Skjern Handbold

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Team Tvis Holstebro 1484 · Skjern Handbold 1487

	Team Tvis Holstebro	Skjern Handbold
Our model	60%	40%
Market	47%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 62.3 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.3Team Tvis Holstebro 31.3 · Skjern Handbold 31

Match keys

H2H favours Skjern Handbold: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Team Tvis Holstebro	Skjern Handbold
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.5 / 31.9	32 / 33
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.8 / 30.4	34.2 / 32.2
Est. result	31	31

Est. total62.3

Line O/U64.5

Diff.2.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.00

X8.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 0.3 · Est. total: 64.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 2.00▲	Bet365 2.00
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.35 → 2.25▼	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:42 +7’	1.90	8.50	2.35
12:27 +22’	2.00▲	8.50	2.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Team Tvis Holstebro 2–1–3 Skjern Handbold

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/12/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skjern Handbold	27-25	Team Tvis Holstebro
14/09/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Team Tvis Holstebro	29-26	Skjern Handbold
27/02/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Team Tvis Holstebro	30-30	Skjern Handbold
12/10/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skjern Handbold	25-29	Team Tvis Holstebro
17/08/24 Club Friendlies	Skjern Handbold	30-29	Team Tvis Holstebro
08/02/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Team Tvis Holstebro	22-26	Skjern Handbold

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	4	3	1	0	130	118	7
2	Ribe Esbjerg HH	4	3	1	0	126	117	7
3	Skanderborg Handbold	4	3	0	1	147	139	6
4	Aalborg Handbold	4	3	0	1	122	120	6
5	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	4	2	0	2	126	124	4
6	Skjern Handbold	4	2	0	2	134	130	4
7	Fredericia HK	4	2	0	2	117	109	4
8	SonderjyskE	4	2	0	2	123	126	4
9	KIF Kolding Kbh.	4	1	1	2	126	131	3
10	Nordsjaelland Handbold	4	1	1	2	122	129	3
11	Team Tvis Holstebro	4	1	1	2	123	124	3
12	Skive FH	4	1	0	3	145	148	2
13	Mors-Thy Handbold	4	1	0	3	127	132	2
14	TMS Ringsted	4	0	1	3	129	150	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Team Tvis Holstebro	Skjern Handbold
GOG	29-29 D	29-35 L
Aalborg Handbold	29-31 L	30-33 L
Mors-Thy Handbold	31-30 W	35-32 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Team Tvis Holstebro (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Team Tvis Holstebro

LWLLWWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/09	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	28-31	L
03/09	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-29	D
30/08	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	29-31	L
27/08	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	37-33	W
10/05	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-28	W
01/05	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-30	W
23/04	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	32-33	L
19/04	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-37	L
12/04	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	37-34	W
06/04	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-33	L

Skjern Handbold

LLWLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-33	L
02/09	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-32	W
29/08	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	40-30	W
25/08	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-35	L
10/05	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	37-31	W
03/05	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	27-36	L
25/04	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-34	L
18/04	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	34-32	W
11/04	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	23-32	L
05/04	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	34-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Team Tvis Holstebro vs Skjern Handbold?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Team Tvis Holstebro 56% · Skjern Handbold 44%).

How many points are expected in Team Tvis Holstebro vs Skjern Handbold?

The model estimates 62.3 total points (Team Tvis Holstebro 31.3 · Skjern Handbold 31).