Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: TMS Ringsted vs Mors-Thy Handbold

Team pages: TMS Ringsted · Mors-Thy Handbold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.9Total

TMS Ringsted31.3

Mors-Thy Handbold31.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

43% 57%

TMS Ringsted Mors-Thy Handbold

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 66.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

TMS Ringsted 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLDL

Mors-Thy Handbold 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWLLW

Head-to-head

TMS Ringsted 3–3 Mors-Thy Handbold (6 last)

TMS Ringsted25-23Mors-Thy Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold33-30TMS Ringsted
Mors-Thy Handbold39-32TMS Ringsted
TMS Ringsted35-29Mors-Thy Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold37-22TMS Ringsted
TMS Ringsted32-28Mors-Thy Handbold

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TMS Ringsted 1438 · Mors-Thy Handbold 1457

	TMS Ringsted	Mors-Thy Handbold
Our model	57%	43%
Market	29%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 62.9 points · Bet365 line 66.5 · -3.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.9TMS Ringsted 31.3 · Mors-Thy Handbold 31.6

Over / Under 66.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~64.8 pts · strength 2

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TMS Ringsted	Mors-Thy Handbold
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.4 / 34.3	30.9 / 34.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 36.2	32.2 / 32.4
Est. result	31	32

Est. total62.9

Line O/U66.5

Diff.3.6

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.20

X9.00

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.95

2 (-1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 66.51.88

Under 66.51.88

Diff.: 2.05 · Est. total: 64.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:41 +16’	3.20	9.00	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TMS Ringsted 3–0–3 Mors-Thy Handbold

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	TMS Ringsted	25-23	Mors-Thy Handbold
27/09/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	33-30	TMS Ringsted
22/03/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	39-32	TMS Ringsted
26/10/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	TMS Ringsted	35-29	Mors-Thy Handbold
19/03/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	37-22	TMS Ringsted
10/11/23 Denmark Handboldligaen	TMS Ringsted	32-28	Mors-Thy Handbold

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	5	4	1	0	165	147	9
2	Ribe Esbjerg HH	5	4	1	0	160	146	9
3	Skanderborg Handbold	5	4	0	1	179	165	8
4	Aalborg Handbold	5	3	1	1	152	150	7
5	Fredericia HK	5	3	0	2	148	135	6
6	Skjern Handbold	5	3	0	2	163	157	6
7	Team Tvis Holstebro	6	2	1	3	188	182	5
8	KIF Kolding Kbh.	6	2	1	3	184	194	5
9	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	5	2	1	2	156	154	5
10	Mors-Thy Handbold	5	2	0	3	161	162	4
11	SonderjyskE	6	2	0	4	183	193	4
12	Nordsjaelland Handbold	5	1	1	3	151	163	3
13	Skive FH	6	1	0	5	204	220	2
14	TMS Ringsted	5	0	1	4	155	181	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TMS Ringsted	Mors-Thy Handbold
Ribe Esbjerg HH	30-30 D	32-34 L
Skive FH	35-40 L	34-30 W
Skjern Handbold	30-40 L	32-35 L
Aalborg Handbold	26-40 L	35-37 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Mors-Thy Handbold (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TMS Ringsted

LWWLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	26-31	L
05/09	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	30-30	D
02/09	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	35-40	L
29/08	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-40	L
26/08	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	34-40	L
19/04	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	22-31	L
15/04	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	28-35	L
11/04	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-26	W
08/04	HOJ Elite Denmark Handboldligaen	33-30	W
28/03	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	26-40	L

Mors-Thy Handbold

WLLLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	34-30	W
06/09	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-32	L
02/09	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-35	L
30/08	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	34-31	W
26/08	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	32-34	L
04/06	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-35	L
31/05	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	31-38	L
23/05	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-37	L
20/05	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	21-40	L
10/05	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	32-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TMS Ringsted vs Mors-Thy Handbold?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (TMS Ringsted 43% · Mors-Thy Handbold 57%).

How many points are expected in TMS Ringsted vs Mors-Thy Handbold?

The model estimates 62.9 total points (TMS Ringsted 31.3 · Mors-Thy Handbold 31.6).

Over or under 66.5 points?

Recent history points to under 66.5 points (70%).