Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 20/09, 14:00

Prediction: Aalborg Handbold vs Nordsjaelland Handbold

Team pages: Aalborg Handbold · Nordsjaelland Handbold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.3Total

Aalborg Handbold33.5

Nordsjaelland Handbold28.8

1X2

86% 14%

Aalborg Handbold Nordsjaelland Handbold

Recent form · 10 last

Aalborg Handbold 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWD

Nordsjaelland Handbold 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLWLDL

Head-to-head

Aalborg Handbold 6–0 Nordsjaelland Handbold (6 last)

Aalborg Handbold39-30Nordsjaelland Handbold
Nordsjaelland Handbold34-37Aalborg Handbold
Aalborg Handbold29-25Nordsjaelland Handbold
Nordsjaelland Handbold27-29Aalborg Handbold
Nordsjaelland Handbold28-30Aalborg Handbold
Aalborg Handbold30-28Nordsjaelland Handbold

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aalborg Handbold 1595 · Nordsjaelland Handbold 1457

	Aalborg Handbold	Nordsjaelland Handbold
Our model	77%	23%
Market	89%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 62.3 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.3Aalborg Handbold 33.5 · Nordsjaelland Handbold 28.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aalborg Handbold (rating 1595 vs 1457).
Aalborg Handbold is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours Aalborg Handbold: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Aalborg Handbold	Nordsjaelland Handbold
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.9 / 29.8	29.6 / 31.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.4 / 30	30.2 / 32.6
Est. result	34	29

Est. total62.3

Line O/U64.5

Diff.2.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.06

X20.00

214.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.88

2 (+7.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 2.55 · Est. total: 61.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.06	Bet365 1.06
X	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00
2	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:36 +11’	1.06	20.00	14.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aalborg Handbold 6–0–0 Nordsjaelland Handbold

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Aalborg Handbold	39-30	Nordsjaelland Handbold
06/09/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Nordsjaelland Handbold	34-37	Aalborg Handbold
12/04/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Aalborg Handbold	29-25	Nordsjaelland Handbold
01/12/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Nordsjaelland Handbold	27-29	Aalborg Handbold
31/08/24 Denmark Cup	Nordsjaelland Handbold	28-30	Aalborg Handbold
09/03/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Aalborg Handbold	30-28	Nordsjaelland Handbold

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ribe Esbjerg HH	6	5	1	0	197	175	11
2	GOG	5	4	1	0	165	147	9
3	Skanderborg Handbold	5	4	0	1	179	165	8
4	Aalborg Handbold	5	3	1	1	152	150	7
5	Fredericia HK	5	3	0	2	148	135	6
6	Skjern Handbold	5	3	0	2	163	157	6
7	Team Tvis Holstebro	6	2	1	3	188	182	5
8	KIF Kolding Kbh.	6	2	1	3	184	194	5
9	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	6	2	1	3	185	191	5
10	Mors-Thy Handbold	5	2	0	3	161	162	4
11	SonderjyskE	6	2	0	4	183	193	4
12	Nordsjaelland Handbold	5	1	1	3	151	163	3
13	Skive FH	6	1	0	5	204	220	2
14	TMS Ringsted	5	0	1	4	155	181	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aalborg Handbold	Nordsjaelland Handbold
Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	30-30 D	33-32 W
Skjern Handbold	33-30 W	26-24 W
Fredericia HK	26-33 L	24-31 L
SonderjyskE	32-28 W	35-35 D
Skanderborg Handbold	35-31 W	33-34 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Aalborg Handbold (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aalborg Handbold

WWWWWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	30-30	D
05/09	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	33-30	W
02/09	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	26-33	L
30/08	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	31-29	W
26/08	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	32-28	W
04/06	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-31	W
31/05	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-29	W
23/05	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	37-35	W
20/05	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	40-21	W
10/05	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	35-32	W

Nordsjaelland Handbold

WDLWLLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	29-34	L
06/09	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	32-32	D
02/09	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	33-34	L
30/08	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	33-32	W
26/08	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	24-31	L
25/04	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	26-37	L
15/04	HOJ Elite Denmark Handboldligaen	32-27	W
11/04	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	26-30	L
07/04	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	35-35	D
28/03	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	26-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aalborg Handbold vs Nordsjaelland Handbold?

Our model gives 86% to Aalborg Handbold.

How many points are expected in Aalborg Handbold vs Nordsjaelland Handbold?

The model estimates 62.3 total points (Aalborg Handbold 33.5 · Nordsjaelland Handbold 28.8).