Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: GOG vs Fredericia HK

Team pages: GOG · Fredericia HK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.9Total

GOG30.8

Fredericia HK30.1

1X2

73% 27%

GOG Fredericia HK

Recent form · 10 last

GOG 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWWDWW

Fredericia HK 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLWLW

Head-to-head

GOG 3–3 Fredericia HK (6 last)

Fredericia HK27-29GOG
GOG23-28Fredericia HK
GOG27-33Fredericia HK
Fredericia HK33-27GOG
GOG31-28Fredericia HK
Fredericia HK27-28GOG

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GOG 1526 · Fredericia HK 1518

	GOG	Fredericia HK
Our model	61%	39%
Market	74%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 60.9 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.9GOG 30.8 · Fredericia HK 30.1

Match keys

GOG is a clear favourite (73% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	GOG	Fredericia HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.8 / 30.7	29.2 / 29.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33 / 29.4	29.6 / 27
Est. result	31	30

Est. total60.9

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.27

X11.00

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.75

2 (+3.5)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 0.45 · Est. total: 61.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.27▼	Bet365 1.27
X	10.00 → 11.00▲	Bet365 11.00
2	4.75 → 5.50▲	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:37 +10’	1.32	10.00	4.75
11:30 +29’	1.27▼	11.00▲	5.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GOG 3–0–3 Fredericia HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	27-29	GOG
11/04/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	GOG	23-28	Fredericia HK
20/12/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	GOG	27-33	Fredericia HK
27/09/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	33-27	GOG
21/05/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	GOG	31-28	Fredericia HK
03/05/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	27-28	GOG

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ribe Esbjerg HH	6	5	1	0	197	175	11
2	GOG	5	4	1	0	165	147	9
3	Skanderborg Handbold	5	4	0	1	179	165	8
4	Aalborg Handbold	5	3	1	1	152	150	7
5	Fredericia HK	5	3	0	2	148	135	6
6	Skjern Handbold	5	3	0	2	163	157	6
7	Team Tvis Holstebro	6	2	1	3	188	182	5
8	KIF Kolding Kbh.	6	2	1	3	184	194	5
9	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	6	2	1	3	185	191	5
10	Mors-Thy Handbold	5	2	0	3	161	162	4
11	SonderjyskE	6	2	0	4	183	193	4
12	Nordsjaelland Handbold	5	1	1	3	151	163	3
13	Skive FH	6	1	0	5	204	220	2
14	TMS Ringsted	5	0	1	4	155	181	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GOG	Fredericia HK
Skjern Handbold	35-29 W	31-37 L
Aalborg Handbold	32-35 L	33-26 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GOG

LDLWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	35-29	W
06/09	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-29	W
03/09	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	29-29	D
29/08	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	34-31	W
25/08	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-29	W
04/06	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-29	W
31/05	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	38-31	W
23/05	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	26-33	L
20/05	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-32	D
10/05	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-35	L

Fredericia HK

WLLLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	31-26	W
07/09	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	26-28	L
02/09	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	33-26	W
30/08	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	27-31	L
26/08	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-24	W
10/05	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-37	L
02/05	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	26-36	L
25/04	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	27-29	L
18/04	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-34	L
11/04	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	28-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GOG vs Fredericia HK?

Our model gives 73% to GOG.

How many points are expected in GOG vs Fredericia HK?

The model estimates 60.9 total points (GOG 30.8 · Fredericia HK 30.1).