Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 10/10, 18:30

Prediction: Rostocker HC (W) vs VfL Waiblingen (W)

Team pages: Rostocker HC (W) · VfL Waiblingen (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

55.5Total

Rostocker HC (W)25.8

VfL Waiblingen (W)29.7

1X2

30% 70%

Rostocker HC (W) VfL Waiblingen (W)

Markets

Over 52.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Rostocker HC (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLL

VfL Waiblingen (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLWWWL

Head-to-head

Rostocker HC (W) 0–2 VfL Waiblingen (W) (2 last)

Rostocker HC (W)25-27VfL Waiblingen (W)
VfL Waiblingen (W)28-20Rostocker HC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rostocker HC (W) 1404 · VfL Waiblingen (W) 1523

	Rostocker HC (W)	VfL Waiblingen (W)
Our model	43%	57%
Market	19%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 55.5 points · Bet365 line 52.5 · +3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points55.5Rostocker HC (W) 25.8 · VfL Waiblingen (W) 29.7

Over / Under 52.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~55.9 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VfL Waiblingen (W) (rating 1404 vs 1523).
VfL Waiblingen (W) is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours VfL Waiblingen (W): 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Rostocker HC (W)	VfL Waiblingen (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	24.3 / 31.6	28.9 / 28.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	22.4 / 32.2	29.2 / 25.6
Est. result	26	30

Est. total55.5

Line O/U52.5

Diff.3

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.75

X9.50

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.95

2 (-3.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 52.51.85

Under 52.51.85

Diff.: 4 · Est. total: 56.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:14 +65’	4.75	9.50	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rostocker HC (W) 0–0–2 VfL Waiblingen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Rostocker HC (W)	25-27	VfL Waiblingen (W)
03/01/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	VfL Waiblingen (W)	28-20	Rostocker HC (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	4	4	0	0	147	104	8
2	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	4	4	0	0	137	115	8
3	Fuchse Berlin (W)	4	3	1	0	130	102	7
4	Bergischer HC (W)	4	3	1	0	125	109	7
5	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	4	3	0	1	122	97	6
6	VfL Waiblingen (W)	4	3	0	1	124	100	6
7	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	4	3	0	1	122	106	6
8	HC Rodertal (W)	4	2	0	2	129	112	4
9	HSG Freiburg (W)	3	1	0	2	88	107	2
10	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	4	1	0	3	111	128	2
11	SV Werder Bremen (W)	4	1	0	3	116	138	2
12	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	4	1	0	3	100	125	2
13	SV Todesfelde (W)	4	0	1	3	126	140	1
14	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	4	0	1	3	108	142	1
15	Rostocker HC (W)	3	0	0	3	69	105	0
16	TUS Lintfort (W)	4	0	0	4	104	128	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rostocker HC (W)	VfL Waiblingen (W)
Fuchse Berlin (W)	20-40 L	22-25 L
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	24-31 L	31-21 W
HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	23-34 L	22-28 L
SV Werder Bremen (W)	23-32 L	26-30 L
SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	28-26 W	32-31 W
HSG Freiburg (W)	32-36 L	39-28 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: VfL Waiblingen (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rostocker HC (W)

LWLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-34	L
12/09	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	20-40	L
05/09	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-31	L
30/05	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	18-27	L
23/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-29	L
16/05	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	23-34	L
09/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-27	L
02/05	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	23-32	L
25/04	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-26	W
18/04	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-36	L

VfL Waiblingen (W)

DWLLWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Fuchse Berlin (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-25	L
12/09	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-21	W
05/09	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	39-28	W
29/08	SV Todesfelde (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-26	W
30/05	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-28	L
23/05	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-31	W
16/05	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-30	L
14/05	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-39	L
09/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-25	W
02/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-29	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rostocker HC (W) vs VfL Waiblingen (W)?

Our model gives 70% to VfL Waiblingen (W).

How many points are expected in Rostocker HC (W) vs VfL Waiblingen (W)?

The model estimates 55.5 total points (Rostocker HC (W) 25.8 · VfL Waiblingen (W) 29.7).

Over or under 52.5 points?

Recent history points to over 52.5 points (70%).