Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 17/10, 18:00

Prediction: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) vs Fuchse Berlin (W)

Team pages: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) · Fuchse Berlin (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.8Total

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)27.1

Fuchse Berlin (W)31.7

1X2

24% 76%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Fuchse Berlin (W)

Markets

Over 57.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLDLL

Fuchse Berlin (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWDWWD

Head-to-head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 2–4 Fuchse Berlin (W) (6 last)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)29-32Fuchse Berlin (W)
Fuchse Berlin (W)36-20Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
Fuchse Berlin (W)24-23Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)32-27Fuchse Berlin (W)
Fuchse Berlin (W)32-34Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)25-30Fuchse Berlin (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 1458 · Fuchse Berlin (W) 1578

	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	Fuchse Berlin (W)
Our model	43%	57%
Market	11%	83%

Estimated total (ours) 58.8 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.8Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 27.1 · Fuchse Berlin (W) 31.7

Over / Under 57.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~60.4 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fuchse Berlin (W) (rating 1458 vs 1578).
Fuchse Berlin (W) is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours Fuchse Berlin (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	Fuchse Berlin (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.6 / 31.3	32.1 / 25.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.8 / 34.8	33.2 / 27.6
Est. result	27	32

Est. total58.8

Line O/U57.5

Diff.1.3

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

18.50

X14.00

21.09

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+6.5)1.90

2 (-6.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 58.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
X	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00
2	1.09 → 1.09	Bet365 1.09

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
09:07 +10’	8.50	14.00	1.09

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 2–0–4 Fuchse Berlin (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	29-32	Fuchse Berlin (W)
15/11/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	Fuchse Berlin (W)	36-20	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
13/02/16 Germany Bundesliga Women	Fuchse Berlin (W)	24-23	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
20/09/15 Germany Bundesliga Women	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	32-27	Fuchse Berlin (W)
02/05/15 Germany Bundesliga Women	Fuchse Berlin (W)	32-34	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)
11/01/15 Germany Bundesliga Women	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	25-30	Fuchse Berlin (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	5	5	0	0	166	139	10
2	VfL Waiblingen (W)	6	5	0	1	181	147	10
3	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	5	4	1	0	183	140	9
4	Bergischer HC (W)	6	4	1	1	183	167	9
5	Fuchse Berlin (W)	5	3	2	0	166	138	8
6	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	5	4	0	1	154	132	8
7	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	4	3	0	1	122	97	6
8	HC Rodertal (W)	5	3	0	2	160	135	6
9	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	5	2	0	3	143	154	4
10	HSG Freiburg (W)	4	1	0	3	112	136	2
11	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	4	1	0	3	100	125	2
12	SV Werder Bremen (W)	5	1	0	4	146	169	2
13	SV Todesfelde (W)	5	0	1	4	152	172	1
14	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	5	0	1	4	134	174	1
15	Rostocker HC (W)	4	0	0	4	89	134	0
16	TUS Lintfort (W)	5	0	0	5	127	159	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	Fuchse Berlin (W)
HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	26-32 L	36-31 W
SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	22-29 L	36-27 W
HC Rodertal (W)	22-40 L	31-21 W
Rostocker HC (W)	29-25 W	40-20 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Fuchse Berlin (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)

WWWWLLLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-32	L
19/09	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-38	L
12/09	SV Todesfelde (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-35	D
06/09	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-29	L
29/08	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-40	L
30/05	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-33	L
23/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-25	W
17/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-29	W
09/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-28	W
03/05	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-24	W

Fuchse Berlin (W)

WWLWWWDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-36	D
19/09	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-22	W
12/09	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	40-20	W
05/09	Bergischer HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-29	D
30/08	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-31	W
30/05	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-27	W
23/05	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-17	W
16/05	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	30-32	L
09/05	HC Leipzig (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-21	W
02/05	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	31-21	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) vs Fuchse Berlin (W)?

Our model gives 76% to Fuchse Berlin (W).

How many points are expected in Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) vs Fuchse Berlin (W)?

The model estimates 58.8 total points (Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) 27.1 · Fuchse Berlin (W) 31.7).

Over or under 57.5 points?

Recent history points to over 57.5 points (70%).