Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women · 17/10, 18:30

Prediction: HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) vs HSG Freiburg (W)

Team pages: HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) · HSG Freiburg (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.6Total

HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)32.6

HSG Freiburg (W)27

1X2

83% 17%

HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) HSG Freiburg (W)

Markets

Over 56.5 points 80%

Recent form · 10 last

HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWLWW

HSG Freiburg (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) 4–0 HSG Freiburg (W) (4 last)

HSG Freiburg (W)25-32HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)
HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)27-22HSG Freiburg (W)
HSG Freiburg (W)27-35HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)
HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)32-25HSG Freiburg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) 1567 · HSG Freiburg (W) 1438

	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	HSG Freiburg (W)
Our model	76%	24%
Market	80%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 59.6 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.6HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) 32.6 · HSG Freiburg (W) 27

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) (rating 1567 vs 1438).
HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) is a clear favourite (83% market).
H2H favours HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W): 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	HSG Freiburg (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.9 / 26.3	28.9 / 33.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.8 / 26.4	27.4 / 35.2
Est. result	33	27

Est. total59.6

Line O/U56.5

Diff.3.1

Over / Under80% / 20%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.12

X12.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.75

2 (+5.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 3.1 · Est. total: 59.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.12 → 1.12	Bet365 1.12
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
09:56 +22’	1.12	12.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) 4–0–0 HSG Freiburg (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HSG Freiburg (W)	25-32	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)
03/01/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	27-22	HSG Freiburg (W)
22/05/21 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HSG Freiburg (W)	27-35	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)
23/01/21 Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	32-25	HSG Freiburg (W)

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	5	5	0	0	166	139	10
2	VfL Waiblingen (W)	6	5	0	1	181	147	10
3	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W)	5	4	1	0	183	140	9
4	Bergischer HC (W)	6	4	1	1	183	167	9
5	Fuchse Berlin (W)	5	3	2	0	166	138	8
6	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	5	4	0	1	154	132	8
7	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W)	4	3	0	1	122	97	6
8	HC Rodertal (W)	5	3	0	2	160	135	6
9	HL Buchholz 08-Rosengarten (W)	5	2	0	3	143	154	4
10	HSG Freiburg (W)	4	1	0	3	112	136	2
11	SG 09 Kirchhof (W)	4	1	0	3	100	125	2
12	SV Werder Bremen (W)	5	1	0	4	146	169	2
13	SV Todesfelde (W)	5	0	1	4	152	172	1
14	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W)	5	0	1	4	134	174	1
15	Rostocker HC (W)	4	0	0	4	89	134	0
16	TUS Lintfort (W)	5	0	0	5	127	159	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)	HSG Freiburg (W)
HC Rodertal (W)	26-32 L	25-40 L
SV Werder Bremen (W)	34-32 W	36-29 W
VfL Waiblingen (W)	28-22 W	28-39 L
1. FSV Mainz 05 (W)	27-26 W	24-29 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W)

WWWLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	SV Todesfelde (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-26	W
19/09	SG 09 Kirchhof (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	35-18	W
12/09	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	26-32	L
05/09	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-32	W
29/08	TUS Lintfort (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-24	W
30/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-22	W
23/05	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-35	L
16/05	Rostocker HC (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	34-23	W
09/05	HSG Freiburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	32-25	W
02/05	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	27-26	W

HSG Freiburg (W)

WDLLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	1. FSV Mainz 05 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	24-29	L
19/09	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	38-29	W
12/09	SG Nurtingen Zizishausen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	22-39	L
05/09	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	28-39	L
30/05	HC Rodertal (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-40	L
23/05	ESV 1927 Regensburg (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	33-34	L
17/05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-31	L
09/05	HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	25-32	L
02/05	VfL Waiblingen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	29-29	D
25/04	SV Werder Bremen (W) Germany 2 Bundesliga Women	36-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) vs HSG Freiburg (W)?

Our model gives 83% to HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W).

How many points are expected in HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) vs HSG Freiburg (W)?

The model estimates 59.6 total points (HSV Solingen-Grafrath 76 (W) 32.6 · HSG Freiburg (W) 27).