Handball · Denmark 1st Division · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: Norddjurs Handbold vs HC Midtjylland

Team pages: Norddjurs Handbold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.4Total

Norddjurs Handbold31.3

HC Midtjylland30.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

Norddjurs Handbold HC Midtjylland

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Norddjurs Handbold 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLWLWL

HC Midtjylland 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLWLW

Head-to-head

Norddjurs Handbold 0–4 HC Midtjylland (4 last)

Norddjurs Handbold25-34HC Midtjylland
HC Midtjylland33-32Norddjurs Handbold
Norddjurs Handbold33-36HC Midtjylland
HC Midtjylland36-27Norddjurs Handbold

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Norddjurs Handbold 1490 · HC Midtjylland 1516

	Norddjurs Handbold	HC Midtjylland
Our model	56%	44%
Market	37%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 61.4 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.4Norddjurs Handbold 31.3 · HC Midtjylland 30.1

Match keys

H2H favours HC Midtjylland: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Norddjurs Handbold	HC Midtjylland
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.5 / 30.2	29.7 / 30.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.8 / 29	29.2 / 29.4
Est. result	31	30

Est. total61.4

Line O/U60.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.50

X8.50

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · Est. total: 60.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:03 +14’	2.50	8.50	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Norddjurs Handbold 0–0–4 HC Midtjylland

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/02/26 Denmark 1st Division	Norddjurs Handbold	25-34	HC Midtjylland
24/10/25 Denmark 1st Division	HC Midtjylland	33-32	Norddjurs Handbold
12/04/25 Denmark 1st Division	Norddjurs Handbold	33-36	HC Midtjylland
07/12/24 Denmark 1st Division	HC Midtjylland	36-27	Norddjurs Handbold

Standings · Denmark 1st Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HOJ Elite	7	6	0	1	238	194	12
2	TM Tonder	7	5	0	2	208	189	10
3	HC Midtjylland	7	5	0	2	210	201	10
4	Rækker Mølle	7	5	0	2	217	202	10
5	Team Sydhavsoerne	7	5	0	2	223	189	10
6	Grindsted GIF	7	4	1	2	215	199	9
7	Norddjurs Handbold	7	4	0	3	227	199	8
8	Aarhus HC	7	4	0	3	218	218	8
9	Elitesport Vendsyssel	7	4	0	3	207	214	8
10	Lemvig-Thyboran	7	2	1	4	205	210	5
11	Koge	7	2	0	5	201	214	4
12	Odder Handbold	7	2	0	5	224	249	4
13	AGF Aarhus	7	0	0	7	174	223	0
14	Stoholm Håndbold	7	0	0	7	175	241	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Norddjurs Handbold	HC Midtjylland
Lemvig-Thyboran	33-28 W	32-26 W
Elitesport Vendsyssel	30-26 W	31-28 W
TM Tonder	30-35 L	25-26 L
Rækker Mølle	28-28 D	28-27 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: HC Midtjylland (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Norddjurs Handbold

DLLWWLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	HOJ Elite Denmark 1st Division	35-37	L
04/10	AGF Aarhus Denmark 1st Division	40-24	W
26/09	Team Sydhavsoerne Denmark 1st Division	24-30	L
19/09	Stoholm Håndbold Denmark 1st Division	40-25	W
12/09	Grindsted GIF Denmark 1st Division	25-29	L
04/09	Lemvig-Thyboran Denmark 1st Division	33-28	W
29/08	Elitesport Vendsyssel Denmark 1st Division	30-26	W
29/03	Team Sydhavsoerne Denmark 1st Division	30-40	L
13/03	TM Tonder Denmark 1st Division	30-35	L
07/03	Rækker Mølle Denmark 1st Division	28-28	D

HC Midtjylland

LLLWWWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Elitesport Vendsyssel Denmark 1st Division	31-28	W
02/10	TM Tonder Denmark 1st Division	25-26	L
26/09	Koge Denmark 1st Division	30-27	W
19/09	Odder Handbold Denmark 1st Division	32-39	L
11/09	Rækker Mølle Denmark 1st Division	28-27	W
04/09	Aarhus HC Denmark 1st Division	32-28	W
29/08	Lemvig-Thyboran Denmark 1st Division	32-26	W
29/03	TM Tonder Denmark 1st Division	26-35	L
14/03	Rækker Mølle Denmark 1st Division	32-36	L
05/03	Lemvig-Thyboran Denmark 1st Division	29-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Norddjurs Handbold vs HC Midtjylland?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Norddjurs Handbold 47% · HC Midtjylland 53%).

How many points are expected in Norddjurs Handbold vs HC Midtjylland?

The model estimates 61.4 total points (Norddjurs Handbold 31.3 · HC Midtjylland 30.1).