Handball · Denmark 1st Division · 25/10, 15:00

Prediction: Odder Handbold vs TM Tonder

Team pages: Odder Handbold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.1Total

Odder Handbold29.3

TM Tonder33.7

1X2

30% 70%

Odder Handbold TM Tonder

Recent form · 10 last

Odder Handbold 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLLLL

TM Tonder 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Odder Handbold 0–6 TM Tonder (6 last)

Odder Handbold28-41TM Tonder
TM Tonder34-29Odder Handbold
Odder Handbold20-31TM Tonder
TM Tonder35-25Odder Handbold
TM Tonder27-24Odder Handbold
Odder Handbold19-26TM Tonder

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odder Handbold 1426 · TM Tonder 1579

	Odder Handbold	TM Tonder
Our model	38%	62%
Market	22%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 63.1 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.1Odder Handbold 29.3 · TM Tonder 33.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TM Tonder (rating 1426 vs 1579).
TM Tonder is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours TM Tonder: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Odder Handbold	TM Tonder
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.5 / 35.1	31 / 27
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33 / 36	29.6 / 26.8
Est. result	29	34

Est. total63.1

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X9.50

21.32

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 0.8 · Est. total: 62.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:40 +37’	4.00	9.50	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Odder Handbold 0–0–6 TM Tonder

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Denmark 1st Division	Odder Handbold	28-41	TM Tonder
10/10/25 Denmark 1st Division	TM Tonder	34-29	Odder Handbold
01/02/25 Denmark 1st Division	Odder Handbold	20-31	TM Tonder
27/09/24 Denmark 1st Division	TM Tonder	35-25	Odder Handbold
28/01/24 Denmark 1st Division	TM Tonder	27-24	Odder Handbold
01/10/23 Denmark 1st Division	Odder Handbold	19-26	TM Tonder

Standings · Denmark 1st Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HOJ Elite	8	7	0	1	270	222	14
2	TM Tonder	8	6	0	2	240	214	12
3	HC Midtjylland	8	6	0	2	247	235	12
4	Team Sydhavsoerne	8	6	0	2	260	223	12
5	Rækker Mølle	8	5	0	3	242	234	10
6	Elitesport Vendsyssel	8	5	0	3	236	239	10
7	Grindsted GIF	8	4	1	3	243	231	9
8	Norddjurs Handbold	8	4	0	4	261	236	8
9	Aarhus HC	8	4	0	4	243	247	8
10	Koge	8	3	0	5	235	244	6
11	Lemvig-Thyboran	8	2	1	5	239	247	5
12	Odder Handbold	8	2	0	6	254	283	4
13	Stoholm Håndbold	8	1	0	7	206	266	2
14	AGF Aarhus	8	0	0	8	199	254	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odder Handbold	TM Tonder
Rækker Mølle	28-36 L	32-25 W
Aarhus HC	34-39 L	34-32 W
HC Midtjylland	39-32 W	26-25 W
HOJ Elite	26-38 L	28-31 L
AGF Aarhus	35-25 W	28-21 W
Team Sydhavsoerne	28-40 L	30-26 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TM Tonder (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odder Handbold

LLLWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Koge Denmark 1st Division	30-34	L
09/10	Lemvig-Thyboran Denmark 1st Division	34-39	L
02/10	Rækker Mølle Denmark 1st Division	28-36	L
26/09	Aarhus HC Denmark 1st Division	34-39	L
19/09	HC Midtjylland Denmark 1st Division	39-32	W
10/09	HOJ Elite Denmark 1st Division	26-38	L
06/09	AGF Aarhus Denmark 1st Division	35-25	W
29/08	Team Sydhavsoerne Denmark 1st Division	28-40	L
29/03	Give HK Denmark 1st Division	31-35	L
14/03	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark 1st Division	30-33	L

TM Tonder

WWLWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Rækker Mølle Denmark 1st Division	32-25	W
10/10	Aarhus HC Denmark 1st Division	34-32	W
02/10	HC Midtjylland Denmark 1st Division	26-25	W
27/09	HOJ Elite Denmark 1st Division	28-31	L
20/09	AGF Aarhus Denmark 1st Division	28-21	W
13/09	Team Sydhavsoerne Denmark 1st Division	30-26	W
06/09	Stoholm Håndbold Denmark 1st Division	32-21	W
29/08	Grindsted GIF Denmark 1st Division	30-33	L
29/03	HC Midtjylland Denmark 1st Division	35-26	W
13/03	Norddjurs Handbold Denmark 1st Division	35-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odder Handbold vs TM Tonder?

Our model gives 70% to TM Tonder.

How many points are expected in Odder Handbold vs TM Tonder?

The model estimates 63.1 total points (Odder Handbold 29.3 · TM Tonder 33.7).