Handball · Austria HLA · 10/10, 18:30

Prediction: Fivers WAT Margareten vs Alpla HC Hard

Team pages: Fivers WAT Margareten · Alpla HC Hard

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.9Total

Fivers WAT Margareten32.9

Alpla HC Hard31.1

1X2

61% 39%

Fivers WAT Margareten Alpla HC Hard

Markets

Over 63.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Fivers WAT Margareten 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWLWW

Alpla HC Hard 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLWWL

Head-to-head

Fivers WAT Margareten 2–1–3 Alpla HC Hard (6 last)

Alpla HC Hard31-33Fivers WAT Margareten
Fivers WAT Margareten31-32Alpla HC Hard
Alpla HC Hard32-33Fivers WAT Margareten
Fivers WAT Margareten26-28Alpla HC Hard
Alpla HC Hard38-29Fivers WAT Margareten
Fivers WAT Margareten35-35Alpla HC Hard

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fivers WAT Margareten 1561 · Alpla HC Hard 1479

	Fivers WAT Margareten	Alpla HC Hard
Our model	71%	29%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 63.9 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.9Fivers WAT Margareten 32.9 · Alpla HC Hard 31.1

Over / Under 63.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~65.8 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fivers WAT Margareten (rating 1561 vs 1479).
H2H favours Alpla HC Hard: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fivers WAT Margareten	Alpla HC Hard
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.9 / 31.5	30.7 / 30.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	36.6 / 31.6	30.2 / 30.2
Est. result	33	31

Est. total63.9

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.4

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 0.5 · Est. total: 64

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
10:28 +7’	1.85	8.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fivers WAT Margareten 2–1–3 Alpla HC Hard

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Austria HLA	Alpla HC Hard	31-33	Fivers WAT Margareten
05/05/26 Austria HLA	Fivers WAT Margareten	31-32	Alpla HC Hard
01/05/26 Austria HLA	Alpla HC Hard	32-33	Fivers WAT Margareten
27/03/26 Austria HLA	Fivers WAT Margareten	26-28	Alpla HC Hard
07/11/25 Austria HLA	Alpla HC Hard	38-29	Fivers WAT Margareten
20/05/25 Austria HLA	Fivers WAT Margareten	35-35	Alpla HC Hard

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Handball Tirol	5	4	0	1	152	149	8
2	SC Ferlach	5	3	2	0	150	137	8
3	Fivers WAT Margareten	5	4	0	1	183	158	8
4	HC Linz AG	5	3	0	2	154	149	6
5	HSG Graz	5	3	0	2	163	166	6
6	Bregenz Handball	5	2	1	2	161	152	5
7	BT Fuchse	5	2	0	3	146	159	4
8	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	5	2	0	3	145	137	4
9	Voslauer HC	5	2	0	3	149	150	4
10	Alpla HC Hard	5	2	0	3	151	151	4
11	UHK Krems	5	1	0	4	145	158	2
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	5	0	1	4	136	169	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fivers WAT Margareten	Alpla HC Hard
BT Fuchse	38-31 W	33-35 L
Voslauer HC	31-32 L	34-27 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fivers WAT Margareten

WWWLLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/10	HSG Graz Austria HLA	37-34	W
03/10	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	38-31	W
26/09	Handball Tirol Austria HLA	32-34	L
09/09	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	42-27	W
05/09	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	34-32	W
06/06	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	31-32	L
03/06	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	33-35	L
27/05	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	39-30	W
22/05	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	30-29	W
09/05	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	33-31	W

Alpla HC Hard

LWLWLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	26-34	L
26/09	UHK Krems Austria HLA	32-27	W
23/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	34-27	W
09/09	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	26-28	L
05/09	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	33-35	L
09/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	31-33	L
05/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	32-31	W
01/05	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	32-33	L
18/04	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	33-31	W
15/04	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat Austria HLA	28-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fivers WAT Margareten vs Alpla HC Hard?

Our model gives 61% to Fivers WAT Margareten.

How many points are expected in Fivers WAT Margareten vs Alpla HC Hard?

The model estimates 63.9 total points (Fivers WAT Margareten 32.9 · Alpla HC Hard 31.1).

Over or under 63.5 points?

Recent history points to over 63.5 points (70%).