Handball · Austria HLA · 10/10, 19:00

Prediction: SC Ferlach vs UHK Krems

Team pages: SC Ferlach · UHK Krems

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.7Total

SC Ferlach29.4

UHK Krems29.3

1X2

61% 39%

SC Ferlach UHK Krems

Recent form · 10 last

SC Ferlach 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWWDWD

UHK Krems 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLLWLL

Head-to-head

SC Ferlach 2–1–3 UHK Krems (6 last)

SC Ferlach31-27UHK Krems
UHK Krems35-23SC Ferlach
SC Ferlach31-31UHK Krems
UHK Krems33-23SC Ferlach
SC Ferlach28-26UHK Krems
SC Ferlach32-37UHK Krems

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Ferlach 1530 · UHK Krems 1489

	SC Ferlach	UHK Krems
Our model	65%	35%
Market	52%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 58.7 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.7SC Ferlach 29.4 · UHK Krems 29.3

Match keys

H2H favours UHK Krems: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SC Ferlach	UHK Krems
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.8 / 27.9	29.5 / 30.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 27.4	28.6 / 31.6
Est. result	29	29

Est. total58.7

Line O/U57.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.75

X8.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.75

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · Est. total: 57.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:46 +3’	1.75	8.00	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Ferlach 2–1–3 UHK Krems

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	31-27	UHK Krems
06/05/26 Austria HLA	UHK Krems	35-23	SC Ferlach
02/05/26 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	31-31	UHK Krems
28/02/26 Austria HLA	UHK Krems	33-23	SC Ferlach
27/09/25 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	28-26	UHK Krems
08/02/25 Austria HLA	SC Ferlach	32-37	UHK Krems

Standings · Austria HLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Handball Tirol	5	4	0	1	152	149	8
2	SC Ferlach	5	3	2	0	150	137	8
3	Fivers WAT Margareten	5	4	0	1	183	158	8
4	HC Linz AG	5	3	0	2	154	149	6
5	HSG Graz	5	3	0	2	163	166	6
6	Bregenz Handball	5	2	1	2	161	152	5
7	BT Fuchse	5	2	0	3	146	159	4
8	HSG Xentis Lipizzanerheimat	5	2	0	3	145	137	4
9	Voslauer HC	5	2	0	3	149	150	4
10	Alpla HC Hard	5	2	0	3	151	151	4
11	UHK Krems	5	1	0	4	145	158	2
12	WAT Atzgersdorf	5	0	1	4	136	169	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Ferlach	UHK Krems
Voslauer HC	27-22 W	30-35 L
Alpla HC Hard	28-26 W	27-32 L
HC Linz AG	34-28 W	31-29 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SC Ferlach (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Ferlach

DLWLLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA	28-28	D
26/09	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	27-22	W
19/09	Bregenz Handball Austria HLA	33-33	D
09/09	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	28-26	W
05/09	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	34-28	W
27/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	20-24	L
22/05	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	23-25	L
09/05	UHK Krems Austria HLA	31-27	W
06/05	UHK Krems Austria HLA	23-35	L
02/05	UHK Krems Austria HLA	31-31	D

UHK Krems

LLWDWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	30-35	L
26/09	Alpla HC Hard Austria HLA	27-32	L
19/09	BT Fuchse Austria HLA	27-25	W
05/09	HSG Graz Austria HLA	32-35	L
09/05	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	27-31	L
06/05	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	35-23	W
02/05	SC Ferlach Austria HLA	31-31	D
18/04	HC Linz AG Austria HLA	31-29	W
15/04	Fivers WAT Margareten Austria HLA	26-31	L
11/04	Voslauer HC Austria HLA	29-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Ferlach vs UHK Krems?

Our model gives 61% to SC Ferlach.

How many points are expected in SC Ferlach vs UHK Krems?

The model estimates 58.7 total points (SC Ferlach 29.4 · UHK Krems 29.3).