Handball · France Division 1 Women · 04/09, 20:00
Prediction: Toulon (W) vs Stella St Maur (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
59.7Total
Toulon (W)31
Stella St Maur (W)28.7
1X2
Toulon (W)
Stella St Maur (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Toulon (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Stella St Maur (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Toulon (W)
3–1–2
Stella St Maur (W)
(6 last)
- Toulon (W)34-28Stella St Maur (W)
- Stella St Maur (W)33-26Toulon (W)
- Stella St Maur (W)25-28Toulon (W)
- Toulon (W)25-25Stella St Maur (W)
- Stella St Maur (W)27-26Toulon (W)
- Toulon (W)32-25Stella St Maur (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toulon (W) 1453 · Stella St Maur (W) 1452
| Toulon (W) | Stella St Maur (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 73% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
59.7 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +2.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points59.7Toulon (W) 31 · Stella St Maur (W) 28.7
Match keys
- Toulon (W) is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours Toulon (W): 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Toulon (W) | Stella St Maur (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 27.4 / 29.4 | 27.4 / 33.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 24.2 / 27.8 | 29 / 34.2 |
| Est. result | 31 | 29 |
Est. total59.7
Line O/U57.5
Diff.2.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Toulon (W) 3–1–2 Stella St Maur (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 France Division 1 Women | Toulon (W) | 34-28 | Stella St Maur (W) |
| 07/01/26 France Division 1 Women | Stella St Maur (W) | 33-26 | Toulon (W) |
| 07/05/25 France Division 1 Women | Stella St Maur (W) | 25-28 | Toulon (W) |
| 20/09/24 France Division 1 Women | Toulon (W) | 25-25 | Stella St Maur (W) |
| 25/05/24 France Division 1 Women | Stella St Maur (W) | 27-26 | Toulon (W) |
| 17/01/24 France Division 1 Women | Toulon (W) | 32-25 | Stella St Maur (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metz (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 77 | 43 | 6 |
| 2 | Brest (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 53 | 6 |
| 3 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 56 | 4 |
| 4 | Nice (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 24 | 3 |
| 5 | Strasbourg (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 20 | 3 |
| 6 | Chambray Touraine (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 22 | 3 |
| 7 | Plan De Cuques (W) | 2 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 59 | 2 |
| 8 | Toulon (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 26 | 1 |
| 9 | ESBF Besancon (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 28 | 1 |
| 10 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 27 | 1 |
| 11 | Stella St Maur (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 34 | 1 |
| 12 | Paris 92 (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 46 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Toulon (W) | Stella St Maur (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Chambray Touraine (W) | 22-26 L | 22-32 L |
| Strasbourg (W) | 19-25 L | 24-28 L |
| Paris 92 (W) | 32-33 L | 29-32 L |
| Plan De Cuques (W) | 23-32 L | 34-32 W |
| Nice (W) | 29-24 W | 24-34 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Toulon (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toulon (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women |
22-26 | L |
| 31/05 | Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women |
35-33 | W |
| 27/05 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
19-25 | L |
| 16/05 | Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women |
19-25 | L |
| 10/05 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women |
26-30 | L |
| 06/05 | Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women |
34-28 | W |
| 25/04 | ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women |
35-38 | L |
| 18/04 | Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women |
32-33 | L |
| 25/03 | Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women |
23-32 | L |
| 18/03 | Nice (W) France Division 1 Women |
29-24 | W |
Stella St Maur (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Nice (W) France Division 1 Women |
24-34 | L |
| 31/05 | Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women |
29-32 | L |
| 27/05 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
27-26 | W |
| 16/05 | Metz (W) France Division 1 Women |
25-50 | L |
| 10/05 | Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women |
40-29 | W |
| 06/05 | Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women |
28-34 | L |
| 24/04 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
24-28 | L |
| 17/04 | Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women |
22-32 | L |
| 25/03 | Brest (W) France Division 1 Women |
21-40 | L |
| 18/03 | Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women |
34-32 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toulon (W) vs Stella St Maur (W)?
Our model gives 72% to Toulon (W).
How many points are expected in Toulon (W) vs Stella St Maur (W)?
The model estimates 59.7 total points (Toulon (W) 31 · Stella St Maur (W) 28.7).