Handball · France Division 1 Women · 09/09, 19:00

Prediction: Metz (W) vs Nice (W)

Team pages: Metz (W) · Nice (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.8Total

Metz (W)32.4

Nice (W)24.4

1X2

88% 12%

Metz (W) Nice (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Metz (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Nice (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Metz (W) 6–0 Nice (W) (6 last)

Metz (W)33-23Nice (W)
Nice (W)22-35Metz (W)
Metz (W)37-26Nice (W)
Nice (W)23-32Metz (W)
Nice (W)19-37Metz (W)
Metz (W)36-22Nice (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Metz (W) 1657 · Nice (W) 1506

	Metz (W)	Nice (W)
Our model	78%	22%
Market	90%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 56.8 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -4.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.8Metz (W) 32.4 · Nice (W) 24.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metz (W) (rating 1657 vs 1506).
Metz (W) is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours Metz (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Metz (W)	Nice (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	36.8 / 23.2	26.6 / 26.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	38.4 / 23.8	26.2 / 26
Est. result	32	24

Est. total56.8

Line O/U61.5

Diff.4.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.00

X20.00

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.85

2 (+11.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 4.75 · Est. total: 56.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00
X	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00
2	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
10:40 +7’	1.00	20.00	17.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Metz (W) 6–0–0 Nice (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 France Division 1 Women	Metz (W)	33-23	Nice (W)
11/10/25 France Division 1 Women	Nice (W)	22-35	Metz (W)
08/06/25 France Division 1 Women	Metz (W)	37-26	Nice (W)
15/01/25 France Division 1 Women	Nice (W)	23-32	Metz (W)
24/01/24 France Division 1 Women	Nice (W)	19-37	Metz (W)
13/09/23 France Division 1 Women	Metz (W)	36-22	Nice (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metz (W)	2	2	0	77	43	6
2	Brest (W)	2	2	0	61	53	6
3	Strasbourg (W)	2	2	0	56	48	6
4	Nice (W)	2	1	1	57	51	4
5	ESBF Besancon (W)	2	1	1	49	52	4
6	St Amand du Hainaut (W)	2	1	1	47	50	4
7	Chambray Touraine (W)	2	1	1	50	50	4
8	Stella St Maur (W)	2	1	1	53	61	4
9	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	2	1	1	60	56	4
10	Toulon (W)	2	0	2	49	55	2
11	Plan De Cuques (W)	2	0	2	45	59	2
12	Paris 92 (W)	2	0	2	49	75	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Metz (W)	Nice (W)
Plan De Cuques (W)	31-22 W	25-29 L
Strasbourg (W)	33-20 W	22-18 W
Stella St Maur (W)	50-25 W	34-24 W
ESBF Besancon (W)	38-20 W	30-26 W
St Amand du Hainaut (W)	31-19 W	23-27 L
Brest (W)	32-28 W	22-32 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Metz (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Metz (W)

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	31-22	W
29/08	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	46-21	W
31/05	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	33-20	W
27/05	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	32-31	W
16/05	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	50-25	W
09/05	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	38-20	W
06/05	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	31-19	W
03/05	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	32-28	W
29/04	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	42-23	W
01/04	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	33-23	W

Nice (W)

LWLWWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/09	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	23-27	L
29/08	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	34-24	W
31/05	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	22-21	W
27/05	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	22-32	L
15/05	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	30-26	W
09/05	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	22-18	W
06/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	27-23	W
24/04	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	25-29	L
17/04	Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women	38-36	W
01/04	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	23-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Metz (W) vs Nice (W)?

Our model gives 88% to Metz (W).

How many points are expected in Metz (W) vs Nice (W)?

The model estimates 56.8 total points (Metz (W) 32.4 · Nice (W) 24.4).