Handball · France Division 1 Women · 04/09, 20:00

Prediction: Strasbourg (W) vs Paris 92 (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

53.3Total

Strasbourg (W)27.8

Paris 92 (W)25.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Strasbourg (W) Paris 92 (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 49.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Strasbourg (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLWLW

Paris 92 (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLDLLLWL

Head-to-head

Strasbourg (W) 2–4 Paris 92 (W) (6 last)

Paris 92 (W)26-27Strasbourg (W)
Strasbourg (W)22-24Paris 92 (W)
Strasbourg (W)21-20Paris 92 (W)
Paris 92 (W)27-26Strasbourg (W)
Paris 92 (W)39-21Strasbourg (W)
Strasbourg (W)30-33Paris 92 (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strasbourg (W) 1470 · Paris 92 (W) 1465

	Strasbourg (W)	Paris 92 (W)
Our model	61%	39%
Market	39%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 53.3 points · Bet365 line 49.5 · +3.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points53.3Strasbourg (W) 27.8 · Paris 92 (W) 25.6

Match keys

H2H favours Paris 92 (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Strasbourg (W)	Paris 92 (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.2 / 25	27.7 / 30.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	22.8 / 25.6	26.6 / 32.4
Est. result	28	26

Est. total53.3

Line O/U49.5

Diff.3.8

Over / Under75% / 25%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.35

X7.50

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 49.51.85

Under 49.51.85

Diff.: 5.25 · Est. total: 54.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:44 +5’	2.35	7.50	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Strasbourg (W) 2–0–4 Paris 92 (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 France Division 1 Women	Paris 92 (W)	26-27	Strasbourg (W)
28/01/26 France Division 1 Women	Strasbourg (W)	22-24	Paris 92 (W)
19/02/25 France Division 1 Women	Strasbourg (W)	21-20	Paris 92 (W)
11/09/24 France Division 1 Women	Paris 92 (W)	27-26	Strasbourg (W)
12/05/24 France Division 1 Women	Paris 92 (W)	39-21	Strasbourg (W)
01/11/23 France Division 1 Women	Strasbourg (W)	30-33	Paris 92 (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metz (W)	2	2	0	77	43	6
2	Brest (W)	2	2	0	61	53	6
3	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	2	1	1	60	56	4
4	Nice (W)	1	1	0	34	24	3
5	Strasbourg (W)	1	1	0	27	20	3
6	Chambray Touraine (W)	1	1	0	26	22	3
7	Plan De Cuques (W)	2	0	2	45	59	2
8	Toulon (W)	1	0	1	22	26	1
9	ESBF Besancon (W)	1	0	1	21	28	1
10	St Amand du Hainaut (W)	1	0	1	20	27	1
11	Stella St Maur (W)	1	0	1	24	34	1
12	Paris 92 (W)	1	0	1	21	46	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Strasbourg (W)	Paris 92 (W)
Metz (W)	20-33 L	21-46 L
Toulon (W)	25-19 W	33-32 W
Plan De Cuques (W)	24-34 L	29-31 L
Havre Athletic Club (W)	42-24 W	29-26 W
Stella St Maur (W)	28-24 W	32-29 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Strasbourg (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Strasbourg (W)

LWWWWLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	27-20	W
31/05	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	20-33	L
27/05	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	25-19	W
16/05	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	24-34	L
09/05	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	18-22	L
06/05	Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women	42-24	W
24/04	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	28-24	W
18/04	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	29-21	W
25/03	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	27-26	W
18/03	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	22-27	L

Paris 92 (W)

WLWLDLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	21-46	L
31/05	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	32-29	W
27/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	25-27	L
15/05	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	26-29	L
10/05	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	29-31	L
06/05	Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women	28-28	D
24/04	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	28-31	L
18/04	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	33-32	W
25/03	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	26-27	L
18/03	Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women	29-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strasbourg (W) vs Paris 92 (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Strasbourg (W) 51% · Paris 92 (W) 49%).

How many points are expected in Strasbourg (W) vs Paris 92 (W)?

The model estimates 53.3 total points (Strasbourg (W) 27.8 · Paris 92 (W) 25.6).