Handball · France Division 1 Women · 16/09, 19:00

Prediction: Brest (W) vs Paris 92 (W)

Team pages: Brest (W) · Paris 92 (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.4Total

Brest (W)31.8

Paris 92 (W)26.6

1X2

85% 15%

Brest (W) Paris 92 (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Brest (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWWWL

Paris 92 (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLWLLD

Head-to-head

Brest (W) 6–0 Paris 92 (W) (6 last)

Brest (W)29-26Paris 92 (W)
Paris 92 (W)21-25Brest (W)
Brest (W)32-28Paris 92 (W)
Paris 92 (W)23-36Brest (W)
Paris 92 (W)29-37Brest (W)
Brest (W)26-24Paris 92 (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brest (W) 1555 · Paris 92 (W) 1457

	Brest (W)	Paris 92 (W)
Our model	72%	28%
Market	89%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 58.4 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.4Brest (W) 31.8 · Paris 92 (W) 26.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brest (W) (rating 1555 vs 1457).
Brest (W) is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours Brest (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brest (W)	Paris 92 (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.5 / 26	28.2 / 31.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.4 / 25.4	27.6 / 32.6
Est. result	32	27

Est. total58.4

Line O/U57.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.01

X20.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-10.5)1.85

2 (+10.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 0.55 · Est. total: 58.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01
X	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:15 +33’	1.01	20.00	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brest (W) 6–0–0 Paris 92 (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	29-26	Paris 92 (W)
10/09/25 France Division 1 Women	Paris 92 (W)	21-25	Brest (W)
25/05/25 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	32-28	Paris 92 (W)
29/01/25 France Division 1 Women	Paris 92 (W)	23-36	Brest (W)
31/01/24 France Cup Women	Paris 92 (W)	29-37	Brest (W)
24/01/24 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	26-24	Paris 92 (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metz (W)	3	3	0	0	118	62	9
2	Chambray Touraine (W)	3	2	0	1	78	72	7
3	Strasbourg (W)	3	2	0	1	78	76	7
4	ESBF Besancon (W)	3	2	0	1	85	74	7
5	Brest (W)	3	2	0	1	87	80	7
6	St Amand du Hainaut (W)	3	2	0	1	79	79	7
7	Nice (W)	3	1	0	2	76	92	5
8	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	3	1	0	2	89	88	5
9	Plan De Cuques (W)	3	1	0	2	72	85	5
10	Stella St Maur (W)	3	1	0	2	75	97	5
11	Toulon (W)	3	0	1	2	81	87	4
12	Paris 92 (W)	3	0	1	2	81	107	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brest (W)	Paris 92 (W)
Plan De Cuques (W)	26-27 L	29-31 L
Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	33-32 W	28-31 L
Sambre Avesnois (W)	43-25 W	28-28 D
Chambray Touraine (W)	28-25 W	25-27 L
Metz (W)	28-32 L	21-46 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Brest (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brest (W)

WLWWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	26-27	L
02/09	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	33-32	W
29/08	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	28-21	W
31/05	Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women	43-25	W
27/05	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	32-22	W
15/05	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	29-26	W
09/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	28-25	W
06/05	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	27-22	W
03/05	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	28-32	L
01/04	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	31-28	W

Paris 92 (W)

WLDLLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	32-32	D
04/09	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	28-29	L
29/08	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	21-46	L
31/05	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	32-29	W
27/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	25-27	L
15/05	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	26-29	L
10/05	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	29-31	L
06/05	Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women	28-28	D
24/04	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	28-31	L
18/04	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	33-32	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brest (W) vs Paris 92 (W)?

Our model gives 85% to Brest (W).

How many points are expected in Brest (W) vs Paris 92 (W)?

The model estimates 58.4 total points (Brest (W) 31.8 · Paris 92 (W) 26.6).