Handball · France Division 1 Women · 16/09, 19:00

Prediction: Strasbourg (W) vs Nice (W)

Team pages: Strasbourg (W) · Nice (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

52.3Total

Strasbourg (W)26.8

Nice (W)25.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

49% 51%

Strasbourg (W) Nice (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Strasbourg (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Nice (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLWWLL

Head-to-head

Strasbourg (W) 2–1–3 Nice (W) (6 last)

Strasbourg (W)18-22Nice (W)
Nice (W)27-29Strasbourg (W)
Nice (W)26-26Strasbourg (W)
Strasbourg (W)23-22Nice (W)
Nice (W)28-21Strasbourg (W)
Strasbourg (W)28-31Nice (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Strasbourg (W) 1487 · Nice (W) 1509

	Strasbourg (W)	Nice (W)
Our model	57%	43%
Market	39%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 52.3 points · Bet365 line 52.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points52.3Strasbourg (W) 26.8 · Nice (W) 25.4

Match keys

H2H favours Nice (W): 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Strasbourg (W)	Nice (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.4 / 25.3	26.2 / 27.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	24.6 / 25.6	24 / 29
Est. result	27	25

Est. total52.3

Line O/U52.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.35

X8.00

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 52.51.85

Under 52.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · Est. total: 52.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:45 +3’	2.35	8.00	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Strasbourg (W) 2–1–3 Nice (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 France Division 1 Women	Strasbourg (W)	18-22	Nice (W)
12/11/25 France Division 1 Women	Nice (W)	27-29	Strasbourg (W)
26/02/25 France Division 1 Women	Nice (W)	26-26	Strasbourg (W)
21/09/24 France Division 1 Women	Strasbourg (W)	23-22	Nice (W)
14/02/24 France Division 1 Women	Nice (W)	28-21	Strasbourg (W)
04/10/23 France Division 1 Women	Strasbourg (W)	28-31	Nice (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metz (W)	3	3	0	0	118	62	9
2	Chambray Touraine (W)	3	2	0	1	78	72	7
3	Strasbourg (W)	3	2	0	1	78	76	7
4	ESBF Besancon (W)	3	2	0	1	85	74	7
5	Brest (W)	3	2	0	1	87	80	7
6	St Amand du Hainaut (W)	3	2	0	1	79	79	7
7	Nice (W)	3	1	0	2	76	92	5
8	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	3	1	0	2	89	88	5
9	Plan De Cuques (W)	3	1	0	2	72	85	5
10	Stella St Maur (W)	3	1	0	2	75	97	5
11	Toulon (W)	3	0	1	2	81	87	4
12	Paris 92 (W)	3	0	1	2	81	107	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Strasbourg (W)	Nice (W)
Chambray Touraine (W)	22-28 L	27-23 W
St Amand du Hainaut (W)	27-20 W	23-27 L
Metz (W)	20-33 L	19-41 L
Plan De Cuques (W)	24-34 L	25-29 L
Havre Athletic Club (W)	42-24 W	38-36 W
Stella St Maur (W)	28-24 W	34-24 W
ESBF Besancon (W)	29-21 W	30-26 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Strasbourg (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Strasbourg (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	22-28	L
04/09	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	29-28	W
29/08	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	27-20	W
31/05	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	20-33	L
27/05	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	25-19	W
16/05	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	24-34	L
09/05	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	18-22	L
06/05	Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women	42-24	W
24/04	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	28-24	W
18/04	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	29-21	W

Nice (W)

WLWWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	19-41	L
03/09	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	23-27	L
29/08	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	34-24	W
31/05	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	22-21	W
27/05	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	22-32	L
15/05	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	30-26	W
09/05	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	22-18	W
06/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	27-23	W
24/04	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	25-29	L
17/04	Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women	38-36	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Strasbourg (W) vs Nice (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Strasbourg (W) 49% · Nice (W) 51%).

How many points are expected in Strasbourg (W) vs Nice (W)?

The model estimates 52.3 total points (Strasbourg (W) 26.8 · Nice (W) 25.4).