Handball · France Division 1 Women · 04/11, 19:00

Prediction: Brest (W) vs Strasbourg (W)

Team pages: Brest (W) · Strasbourg (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

55.5Total

Brest (W)30.6

Strasbourg (W)25

1X2

85% 15%

Brest (W) Strasbourg (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Brest (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLWW

Strasbourg (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWDLD

Head-to-head

Brest (W) 6–0 Strasbourg (W) (6 last)

Strasbourg (W)28-37Brest (W)
Brest (W)37-19Strasbourg (W)
Strasbourg (W)19-32Brest (W)
Brest (W)33-25Strasbourg (W)
Strasbourg (W)20-31Brest (W)
Brest (W)39-15Strasbourg (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brest (W) 1577 · Strasbourg (W) 1459

	Brest (W)	Strasbourg (W)
Our model	75%	25%
Market	86%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 55.5 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · -1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points55.5Brest (W) 30.6 · Strasbourg (W) 25

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brest (W) (rating 1577 vs 1459).
Brest (W) is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours Brest (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brest (W)	Strasbourg (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.3 / 26.8	24.9 / 26.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.6 / 28.4	24.8 / 26.4
Est. result	31	25

Est. total55.5

Line O/U56.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.05

X15.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.80

2 (+7.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 55.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.05 → 1.05	Bet365 1.05
X	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
16:06 +9’	1.05	15.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brest (W) 6–0–0 Strasbourg (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/02/26 France Division 1 Women	Strasbourg (W)	28-37	Brest (W)
24/09/25 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	37-19	Strasbourg (W)
07/05/25 France Division 1 Women	Strasbourg (W)	19-32	Brest (W)
15/01/25 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	33-25	Strasbourg (W)
07/02/24 France Division 1 Women	Strasbourg (W)	20-31	Brest (W)
27/09/23 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	39-15	Strasbourg (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metz (W)	7	7	0	0	273	168	21
2	Chambray Touraine (W)	7	5	0	2	206	165	17
3	Brest (W)	7	5	0	2	229	195	17
4	ESBF Besancon (W)	7	4	1	2	192	189	16
5	Strasbourg (W)	7	3	2	2	180	180	15
6	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	7	4	0	3	194	195	15
7	St Amand du Hainaut (W)	7	4	0	3	189	187	15
8	Plan De Cuques (W)	7	3	0	4	169	190	13
9	Paris 92 (W)	7	1	1	5	179	230	10
10	Stella St Maur (W)	7	1	1	5	162	214	10
11	Toulon (W)	7	1	1	5	187	218	10
12	Nice (W)	7	1	0	6	187	216	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brest (W)	Strasbourg (W)
Nice (W)	36-32 W	29-28 W
Toulon (W)	38-26 W	25-19 W
Metz (W)	31-33 L	20-33 L
Paris 92 (W)	37-24 W	29-28 W
Plan De Cuques (W)	26-27 L	24-34 L
Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	33-32 W	21-24 L
ESBF Besancon (W)	28-21 W	24-24 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Brest (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brest (W)

WWWWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	36-32	W
14/10	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	38-26	W
07/10	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	31-33	L
16/09	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	37-24	W
09/09	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	26-27	L
02/09	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	33-32	W
29/08	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	28-21	W
31/05	Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women	43-25	W
27/05	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	32-22	W
15/05	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	29-26	W

Strasbourg (W)

LWLWWLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	24-24	D
14/10	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	21-24	L
09/10	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	28-28	D
16/09	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	29-28	W
09/09	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	22-28	L
04/09	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	29-28	W
29/08	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	27-20	W
31/05	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	20-33	L
27/05	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	25-19	W
16/05	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	24-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brest (W) vs Strasbourg (W)?

Our model gives 85% to Brest (W).

How many points are expected in Brest (W) vs Strasbourg (W)?

The model estimates 55.5 total points (Brest (W) 30.6 · Strasbourg (W) 25).