Handball · France Division 1 Women · 11/11, 19:00
Prediction: Nice (W) vs Paris 92 (W)
Team pages: Nice (W) · Paris 92 (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
57.2Total
Nice (W)28.8
Paris 92 (W)28.4
1X2
Nice (W)
Paris 92 (W)
Markets
Over 56.5 points 70%
Recent form · 10 last
Nice (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Paris 92 (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nice (W)
2–1–3
Paris 92 (W)
(6 last)
- Nice (W)25-25Paris 92 (W)
- Paris 92 (W)32-33Nice (W)
- Nice (W)31-28Paris 92 (W)
- Paris 92 (W)29-22Nice (W)
- Paris 92 (W)31-23Nice (W)
- Nice (W)29-32Paris 92 (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nice (W) 1437 · Paris 92 (W) 1456
| Nice (W) | Paris 92 (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
57.2 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points57.2Nice (W) 28.8 · Paris 92 (W) 28.4
Over / Under 56.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~58.6 pts · strength 2
Match keys
- H2H favours Paris 92 (W): 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Nice (W) | Paris 92 (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 25.7 / 30.3 | 26.7 / 31.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 27.4 / 31.6 | 25.8 / 30.8 |
| Est. result | 29 | 28 |
Est. total57.2
Line O/U56.5
Diff.0.7
Over / Under70% / 30%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nice (W) 2–1–3 Paris 92 (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/26 France Division 1 Women | Nice (W) | 25-25 | Paris 92 (W) |
| 05/11/25 France Division 1 Women | Paris 92 (W) | 32-33 | Nice (W) |
| 04/06/25 France Division 1 Women | Nice (W) | 31-28 | Paris 92 (W) |
| 13/11/24 France Division 1 Women | Paris 92 (W) | 29-22 | Nice (W) |
| 07/02/24 France Division 1 Women | Paris 92 (W) | 31-23 | Nice (W) |
| 08/09/23 France Division 1 Women | Nice (W) | 29-32 | Paris 92 (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metz (W) | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 305 | 192 | 24 |
| 2 | Brest (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 261 | 221 | 20 |
| 3 | ESBF Besancon (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 221 | 217 | 19 |
| 4 | Chambray Touraine (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 230 | 197 | 18 |
| 5 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 220 | 212 | 18 |
| 6 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 222 | 224 | 16 |
| 7 | Strasbourg (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 206 | 212 | 16 |
| 8 | Plan De Cuques (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 200 | 221 | 15 |
| 9 | Toulon (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 221 | 244 | 13 |
| 10 | Paris 92 (W) | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 210 | 261 | 12 |
| 11 | Stella St Maur (W) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 187 | 245 | 11 |
| 12 | Nice (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 213 | 250 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nice (W) | Paris 92 (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Toulon (W) | 26-34 L | 32-32 D |
| Brest (W) | 32-36 L | 24-37 L |
| Plan De Cuques (W) | 28-29 L | 31-31 D |
| Strasbourg (W) | 28-29 L | 28-29 L |
| Metz (W) | 19-41 L | 21-46 L |
| St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 23-27 L | 21-27 L |
| Stella St Maur (W) | 34-24 W | 28-24 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Nice (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nice (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women |
26-34 | L |
| 30/10 | Brest (W) France Division 1 Women |
32-36 | L |
| 14/10 | Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women |
28-29 | L |
| 07/10 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
23-30 | L |
| 16/09 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
28-29 | L |
| 09/09 | Metz (W) France Division 1 Women |
19-41 | L |
| 03/09 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women |
23-27 | L |
| 29/08 | Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women |
34-24 | W |
| 31/05 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women |
22-21 | W |
| 27/05 | Brest (W) France Division 1 Women |
22-32 | L |
Paris 92 (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women |
31-31 | D |
| 01/11 | Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women |
28-24 | W |
| 14/10 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women |
21-27 | L |
| 09/10 | ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women |
25-35 | L |
| 16/09 | Brest (W) France Division 1 Women |
24-37 | L |
| 11/09 | Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women |
32-32 | D |
| 04/09 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
28-29 | L |
| 29/08 | Metz (W) France Division 1 Women |
21-46 | L |
| 31/05 | Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women |
32-29 | W |
| 27/05 | Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women |
25-27 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nice (W) vs Paris 92 (W)?
Our model gives 61% to Nice (W).
How many points are expected in Nice (W) vs Paris 92 (W)?
The model estimates 57.2 total points (Nice (W) 28.8 · Paris 92 (W) 28.4).
Over or under 56.5 points?
Recent history points to over 56.5 points (70%).