Handball · France Division 1 Women · 11/11, 19:00

Prediction: Chambray Touraine (W) vs Brest (W)

Team pages: Chambray Touraine (W) · Brest (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.8Total

Chambray Touraine (W)27.8

Brest (W)29

1X2

30% 70%

Chambray Touraine (W) Brest (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Chambray Touraine (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Brest (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chambray Touraine (W) 0–6 Brest (W) (6 last)

Chambray Touraine (W)25-28Brest (W)
Brest (W)38-27Chambray Touraine (W)
Chambray Touraine (W)25-36Brest (W)
Brest (W)28-15Chambray Touraine (W)
Chambray Touraine (W)28-33Brest (W)
Brest (W)25-20Chambray Touraine (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chambray Touraine (W) 1523 · Brest (W) 1589

	Chambray Touraine (W)	Brest (W)
Our model	51%	49%
Market	15%	77%

Estimated total (ours) 56.8 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.8Chambray Touraine (W) 27.8 · Brest (W) 29

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brest (W) (rating 1523 vs 1589).
Brest (W) is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Brest (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chambray Touraine (W)	Brest (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.5 / 25.4	33.6 / 26.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.4 / 25	34.8 / 28.2
Est. result	28	29

Est. total56.8

Line O/U57.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.00

X11.00

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)2.00

2 (-4.5)1.72

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · Est. total: 57.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:15	6.00	11.00	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chambray Touraine (W) 0–0–6 Brest (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 France Division 1 Women	Chambray Touraine (W)	25-28	Brest (W)
03/01/26 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	38-27	Chambray Touraine (W)
04/06/25 France Division 1 Women	Chambray Touraine (W)	25-36	Brest (W)
11/09/24 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	28-15	Chambray Touraine (W)
22/05/24 France Division 1 Women	Chambray Touraine (W)	28-33	Brest (W)
10/01/24 France Division 1 Women	Brest (W)	25-20	Chambray Touraine (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metz (W)	8	8	0	0	305	192	24
2	Brest (W)	8	6	0	2	261	221	20
3	ESBF Besancon (W)	8	5	1	2	221	217	19
4	Chambray Touraine (W)	8	5	0	3	230	197	18
5	St Amand du Hainaut (W)	8	5	0	3	220	212	18
6	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	8	4	0	4	222	224	16
7	Strasbourg (W)	8	3	2	3	206	212	16
8	Plan De Cuques (W)	8	3	1	4	200	221	15
9	Toulon (W)	8	2	1	5	221	244	13
10	Paris 92 (W)	8	1	2	5	210	261	12
11	Stella St Maur (W)	8	1	1	6	187	245	11
12	Nice (W)	8	1	0	7	213	250	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chambray Touraine (W)	Brest (W)
Metz (W)	24-32 L	31-33 L
Plan De Cuques (W)	31-23 W	26-27 L
Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	25-26 L	33-32 W
Strasbourg (W)	28-22 W	32-26 W
ESBF Besancon (W)	24-28 L	28-21 W
Toulon (W)	26-22 W	38-26 W
Paris 92 (W)	27-25 W	37-24 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brest (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chambray Touraine (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	24-32	L
31/10	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	37-27	W
14/10	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	35-17	W
08/10	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	31-23	W
16/09	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	25-26	L
09/09	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	28-22	W
05/09	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	24-28	L
29/08	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	26-22	W
31/05	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	28-32	L
27/05	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	27-25	W

Brest (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	32-26	W
30/10	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	36-32	W
14/10	Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women	38-26	W
07/10	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	31-33	L
16/09	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	37-24	W
09/09	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	26-27	L
02/09	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women	33-32	W
29/08	ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women	28-21	W
31/05	Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women	43-25	W
27/05	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	32-22	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chambray Touraine (W) vs Brest (W)?

Our model gives 70% to Brest (W).

How many points are expected in Chambray Touraine (W) vs Brest (W)?

The model estimates 56.8 total points (Chambray Touraine (W) 27.8 · Brest (W) 29).