Handball · France Division 1 Women · 11/11, 19:00
Prediction: Strasbourg (W) vs Toulon (W)
Team pages: Strasbourg (W) · Toulon (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
54Total
Strasbourg (W)27.5
Toulon (W)26.4
1X2
Strasbourg (W)
Toulon (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Strasbourg (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Toulon (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Strasbourg (W)
2–1–3
Toulon (W)
(6 last)
- Strasbourg (W)25-19Toulon (W)
- Toulon (W)33-30Strasbourg (W)
- Strasbourg (W)25-19Toulon (W)
- Toulon (W)26-23Strasbourg (W)
- Strasbourg (W)26-26Toulon (W)
- Toulon (W)26-25Strasbourg (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Strasbourg (W) 1480 · Toulon (W) 1469
| Strasbourg (W) | Toulon (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 56% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
54 points · Bet365 line 53.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points54Strasbourg (W) 27.5 · Toulon (W) 26.4
Match keys
- H2H favours Toulon (W): 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Strasbourg (W) | Toulon (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 25.1 / 26.4 | 27.5 / 30.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 25.6 / 27.2 | 28 / 31.4 |
| Est. result | 28 | 26 |
Est. total54
Line O/U53.5
Diff.0.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Strasbourg (W) 2–1–3 Toulon (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 France Division 1 Women | Strasbourg (W) | 25-19 | Toulon (W) |
| 25/10/25 France Division 1 Women | Toulon (W) | 33-30 | Strasbourg (W) |
| 22/03/25 France Division 1 Women | Strasbourg (W) | 25-19 | Toulon (W) |
| 18/10/24 France Division 1 Women | Toulon (W) | 26-23 | Strasbourg (W) |
| 27/04/24 France Division 1 Women | Strasbourg (W) | 26-26 | Toulon (W) |
| 02/09/23 France Division 1 Women | Toulon (W) | 26-25 | Strasbourg (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metz (W) | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 305 | 192 | 24 |
| 2 | Brest (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 261 | 221 | 20 |
| 3 | ESBF Besancon (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 221 | 217 | 19 |
| 4 | Chambray Touraine (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 230 | 197 | 18 |
| 5 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 220 | 212 | 18 |
| 6 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 222 | 224 | 16 |
| 7 | Strasbourg (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 206 | 212 | 16 |
| 8 | Plan De Cuques (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 200 | 221 | 15 |
| 9 | Toulon (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 221 | 244 | 13 |
| 10 | Paris 92 (W) | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 210 | 261 | 12 |
| 11 | Stella St Maur (W) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 187 | 245 | 11 |
| 12 | Nice (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 213 | 250 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Strasbourg (W) | Toulon (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Brest (W) | 26-32 L | 26-38 L |
| Stella St Maur (W) | 28-28 D | 27-29 L |
| Nice (W) | 29-28 W | 34-26 W |
| Chambray Touraine (W) | 22-28 L | 22-26 L |
| Paris 92 (W) | 29-28 W | 32-32 D |
| St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 27-20 W | 24-31 L |
| Metz (W) | 20-33 L | 28-43 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Strasbourg (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Strasbourg (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Brest (W) France Division 1 Women |
26-32 | L |
| 30/10 | ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women |
24-24 | D |
| 14/10 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
21-24 | L |
| 09/10 | Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women |
28-28 | D |
| 16/09 | Nice (W) France Division 1 Women |
29-28 | W |
| 09/09 | Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women |
22-28 | L |
| 04/09 | Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women |
29-28 | W |
| 29/08 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women |
27-20 | W |
| 31/05 | Metz (W) France Division 1 Women |
20-33 | L |
| 27/05 | Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women |
25-19 | W |
Toulon (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Nice (W) France Division 1 Women |
34-26 | W |
| 30/10 | Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women |
28-19 | W |
| 14/10 | Brest (W) France Division 1 Women |
26-38 | L |
| 07/10 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women |
24-31 | L |
| 16/09 | Metz (W) France Division 1 Women |
28-43 | L |
| 11/09 | Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women |
32-32 | D |
| 04/09 | Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women |
27-29 | L |
| 29/08 | Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women |
22-26 | L |
| 31/05 | Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women |
35-33 | W |
| 27/05 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
19-25 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Strasbourg (W) vs Toulon (W)?
Our model gives 63% to Strasbourg (W).
How many points are expected in Strasbourg (W) vs Toulon (W)?
The model estimates 54 total points (Strasbourg (W) 27.5 · Toulon (W) 26.4).