Handball · France Division 1 Women · 03/09, 20:00
Prediction: Nice (W) vs St Amand du Hainaut (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
51.7Total
Nice (W)25.6
St Amand du Hainaut (W)26.2
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Nice (W)
St Amand du Hainaut (W)
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Markets
Under 54.5 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
Nice (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
St Amand du Hainaut (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nice (W)
5–1
St Amand du Hainaut (W)
(6 last)
- St Amand du Hainaut (W)21-22Nice (W)
- Nice (W)23-32St Amand du Hainaut (W)
- Nice (W)32-30St Amand du Hainaut (W)
- St Amand du Hainaut (W)22-27Nice (W)
- St Amand du Hainaut (W)30-36Nice (W)
- Nice (W)36-27St Amand du Hainaut (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nice (W) 1515 · St Amand du Hainaut (W) 1497
| Nice (W) | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 66% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
51.7 points · Bet365 line 54.5 · -2.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points51.7Nice (W) 25.6 · St Amand du Hainaut (W) 26.2
Over / Under 54.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~50.7 pts · strength 4
Match keys
- H2H favours Nice (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Nice (W) | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 26.7 / 27.1 | 24.9 / 25 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 26 / 24.2 | 24 / 25 |
| Est. result | 26 | 26 |
Est. total51.7
Line O/U54.5
Diff.2.8
Over / Under35% / 65%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nice (W) 5–0–1 St Amand du Hainaut (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 France Division 1 Women | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 21-22 | Nice (W) |
| 28/01/26 France Division 1 Women | Nice (W) | 23-32 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) |
| 07/05/25 France Division 1 Women | Nice (W) | 32-30 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) |
| 18/10/24 France Division 1 Women | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 22-27 | Nice (W) |
| 25/05/24 France Division 1 Women | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 30-36 | Nice (W) |
| 30/08/23 France Division 1 Women | Nice (W) | 36-27 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) |
Standings · France Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metz (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 46 | 21 | 3 |
| 2 | Nice (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 24 | 3 |
| 3 | Brest (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 21 | 3 |
| 4 | Strasbourg (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 20 | 3 |
| 5 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 23 | 3 |
| 6 | Chambray Touraine (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 22 | 3 |
| 7 | Toulon (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 26 | 1 |
| 8 | Plan De Cuques (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 28 | 1 |
| 9 | ESBF Besancon (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 28 | 1 |
| 10 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 27 | 1 |
| 11 | Stella St Maur (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 34 | 1 |
| 12 | Paris 92 (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 46 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nice (W) | St Amand du Hainaut (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Brest (W) | 22-32 L | 28-31 L |
| Strasbourg (W) | 22-18 W | 20-27 L |
| Chambray Touraine (W) | 27-23 W | 24-24 D |
| Havre Athletic Club (W) | 38-36 W | 30-19 W |
| Metz (W) | 23-33 L | 19-31 L |
| Toulon (W) | 24-29 L | 30-26 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nice (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women |
34-24 | W |
| 31/05 | St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women |
22-21 | W |
| 27/05 | Brest (W) France Division 1 Women |
22-32 | L |
| 15/05 | ESBF Besancon (W) France Division 1 Women |
30-26 | W |
| 09/05 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
22-18 | W |
| 06/05 | Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women |
27-23 | W |
| 24/04 | Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women |
25-29 | L |
| 17/04 | Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women |
38-36 | W |
| 01/04 | Metz (W) France Division 1 Women |
23-33 | L |
| 18/03 | Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women |
24-29 | L |
St Amand du Hainaut (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
20-27 | L |
| 31/05 | Nice (W) France Division 1 Women |
21-22 | L |
| 27/05 | Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women |
30-19 | W |
| 10/05 | Toulon (W) France Division 1 Women |
30-26 | W |
| 06/05 | Metz (W) France Division 1 Women |
19-31 | L |
| 02/05 | Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) France Division 1 Women |
19-21 | L |
| 24/04 | Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women |
31-27 | W |
| 01/04 | Brest (W) France Division 1 Women |
28-31 | L |
| 25/03 | Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women |
24-24 | D |
| 18/03 | Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women |
27-22 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nice (W) vs St Amand du Hainaut (W)?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Nice (W) 69% · St Amand du Hainaut (W) 31%).
How many points are expected in Nice (W) vs St Amand du Hainaut (W)?
The model estimates 51.7 total points (Nice (W) 25.6 · St Amand du Hainaut (W) 26.2).
Over or under 54.5 points?
Recent history points to under 54.5 points (65%).