Handball · France Division 1 Women · 04/11, 19:00

Prediction: ESBF Besancon (W) vs Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)

Team pages: ESBF Besancon (W) · Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

55.7Total

ESBF Besancon (W)28.1

Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)27.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

ESBF Besancon (W) Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

ESBF Besancon (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

ESBF Besancon (W) 1–2–3 Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) (6 last)

Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)34-26ESBF Besancon (W)
ESBF Besancon (W)24-26Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)30-34ESBF Besancon (W)
ESBF Besancon (W)32-36Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
ESBF Besancon (W)25-25Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)29-29ESBF Besancon (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ESBF Besancon (W) 1523 · Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) 1537

	ESBF Besancon (W)	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
Our model	58%	42%
Market	48%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 55.7 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points55.7ESBF Besancon (W) 28.1 · Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) 27.6

Match keys

H2H favours Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W): 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	ESBF Besancon (W)	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.5 / 27.3	28.1 / 27.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.6 / 27.4	26.8 / 27.8
Est. result	28	28

Est. total55.7

Line O/U55.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.90

X8.00

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.85

Under 55.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 55.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +3’	1.90	8.00	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ESBF Besancon (W) 1–2–3 Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 France Division 1 Women	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	34-26	ESBF Besancon (W)
03/01/26 France Division 1 Women	ESBF Besancon (W)	24-26	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
24/05/25 France Division 1 Women	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	30-34	ESBF Besancon (W)
09/10/24 France Division 1 Women	ESBF Besancon (W)	32-36	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
07/02/24 France Division 1 Women	ESBF Besancon (W)	25-25	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
08/10/23 France Division 1 Women	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	29-29	ESBF Besancon (W)

Standings · France Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Metz (W)	7	7	0	0	273	168	21
2	Chambray Touraine (W)	7	5	0	2	206	165	17
3	Brest (W)	7	5	0	2	229	195	17
4	ESBF Besancon (W)	7	4	1	2	192	189	16
5	Strasbourg (W)	7	3	2	2	180	180	15
6	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)	7	4	0	3	194	195	15
7	St Amand du Hainaut (W)	7	4	0	3	189	187	15
8	Plan De Cuques (W)	7	3	0	4	169	190	13
9	Paris 92 (W)	7	1	1	5	179	230	10
10	Stella St Maur (W)	7	1	1	5	162	214	10
11	Toulon (W)	7	1	1	5	187	218	10
12	Nice (W)	7	1	0	6	187	216	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ESBF Besancon (W)	Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)
Strasbourg (W)	24-24 D	24-21 W
Metz (W)	22-41 L	25-38 L
St Amand du Hainaut (W)	26-25 W	29-32 L
Stella St Maur (W)	36-22 W	26-27 L
Chambray Touraine (W)	28-24 W	26-25 W
Brest (W)	21-28 L	32-33 L
Nice (W)	26-30 L	30-23 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ESBF Besancon (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	24-24	D
14/10	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	22-41	L
09/10	Paris 92 (W) France Division 1 Women	35-25	W
16/09	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	26-25	W
11/09	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	36-22	W
05/09	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	28-24	W
29/08	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	21-28	L
31/05	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	32-28	W
27/05	Sambre Avesnois (W) France Division 1 Women	35-26	W
15/05	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	26-30	L

Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Metz (W) France Division 1 Women	25-38	L
14/10	Strasbourg (W) France Division 1 Women	24-21	W
07/10	Nice (W) France Division 1 Women	30-23	W
16/09	Chambray Touraine (W) France Division 1 Women	26-25	W
09/09	St Amand du Hainaut (W) France Division 1 Women	29-32	L
02/09	Brest (W) France Division 1 Women	32-33	L
29/08	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	28-23	W
31/05	Plan De Cuques (W) France Division 1 Women	27-26	W
27/05	Stella St Maur (W) France Division 1 Women	26-27	L
09/05	Havre Athletic Club (W) France Division 1 Women	34-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ESBF Besancon (W) vs Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (ESBF Besancon (W) 55% · Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) 45%).

How many points are expected in ESBF Besancon (W) vs Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W)?

The model estimates 55.7 total points (ESBF Besancon (W) 28.1 · Jeanne d’Arc Dijon (W) 27.6).