Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 17/10, 18:00

Prediction: HC Kriens-Luzern vs HSC Suhr Aarau

Team pages: HC Kriens-Luzern · HSC Suhr Aarau

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.8Total

HC Kriens-Luzern33.2

HSC Suhr Aarau28.5

1X2

87% 13%

HC Kriens-Luzern HSC Suhr Aarau

Recent form · 10 last

HC Kriens-Luzern 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

HSC Suhr Aarau 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLWWLL

Head-to-head

HC Kriens-Luzern 5–1–0 HSC Suhr Aarau (6 last)

HSC Suhr Aarau22-30HC Kriens-Luzern
HC Kriens-Luzern38-36HSC Suhr Aarau
HSC Suhr Aarau33-34HC Kriens-Luzern
HC Kriens-Luzern36-30HSC Suhr Aarau
HSC Suhr Aarau24-29HC Kriens-Luzern
HC Kriens-Luzern32-32HSC Suhr Aarau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Kriens-Luzern 1635 · HSC Suhr Aarau 1459

	HC Kriens-Luzern	HSC Suhr Aarau
Our model	80%	20%
Market	87%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 61.8 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.8HC Kriens-Luzern 33.2 · HSC Suhr Aarau 28.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Kriens-Luzern (rating 1635 vs 1459).
HC Kriens-Luzern is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours HC Kriens-Luzern: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Kriens-Luzern	HSC Suhr Aarau
Points F\|A (Last 10)	37 / 31	27.2 / 28.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	38 / 32.6	26 / 25
Est. result	33	29

Est. total61.8

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

X16.00

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 0.8 · Est. total: 61.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:09 +9’	1.04	16.00	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Kriens-Luzern 5–1–0 HSC Suhr Aarau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	22-30	HC Kriens-Luzern
25/10/25 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	38-36	HSC Suhr Aarau
24/09/25 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	33-34	HC Kriens-Luzern
05/02/25 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	36-30	HSC Suhr Aarau
26/10/24 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	24-29	HC Kriens-Luzern
15/09/24 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	32-32	HSC Suhr Aarau

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	9	9	0	0	331	277	18
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	9	7	1	1	307	266	15
3	Pfadi Winterthur	10	5	1	4	309	286	11
4	BSV Bern Muri	9	4	1	4	271	260	9
5	Wacker Thun	9	4	1	4	283	279	9
6	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	9	3	0	6	256	267	6
7	HSC Suhr Aarau	8	3	0	5	206	217	6
8	RTV 1879 Basel	8	3	0	5	242	255	6
9	Amicitia Zurich	8	3	0	5	247	266	6
10	Handball Stafa	9	1	0	8	251	330	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Kriens-Luzern	HSC Suhr Aarau
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	34-32 W	32-31 W
RTV 1879 Basel	38-32 W	22-23 L
BSV Bern Muri	37-32 W	26-27 L
Amicitia Zurich	43-35 W	23-27 L
Kadetten Schaffhausen	38-32 W	20-28 L
Handball Stafa	42-33 W	31-21 W
Wacker Thun	31-26 W	28-27 W
Pfadi Winterthur	34-29 W	24-33 L
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: HC Kriens-Luzern (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Kriens-Luzern

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	34-32	W
03/10	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	38-32	W
26/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	37-32	W
23/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	43-35	W
20/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	38-32	W
05/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	42-33	W
02/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	31-26	W
30/08	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	34-26	W
26/08	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	34-29	W
30/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	39-33	W

HSC Suhr Aarau

LWLLWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	26-27	L
27/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	23-27	L
23/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	31-21	W
12/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	28-27	W
05/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	22-23	L
02/09	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	32-31	W
30/08	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	24-33	L
26/08	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	20-28	L
25/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	34-32	W
22/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	32-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Kriens-Luzern vs HSC Suhr Aarau?

Our model gives 87% to HC Kriens-Luzern.

How many points are expected in HC Kriens-Luzern vs HSC Suhr Aarau?

The model estimates 61.8 total points (HC Kriens-Luzern 33.2 · HSC Suhr Aarau 28.5).