Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 25/10, 17:00

Prediction: Wacker Thun vs HC Kriens-Luzern

Team pages: Wacker Thun · HC Kriens-Luzern

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.1Total

Wacker Thun30.9

HC Kriens-Luzern34.1

1X2

27% 73%

Wacker Thun HC Kriens-Luzern

Recent form · 10 last

Wacker Thun 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDWWLL

HC Kriens-Luzern 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Wacker Thun 0–6 HC Kriens-Luzern (6 last)

HC Kriens-Luzern31-26Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun31-43HC Kriens-Luzern
HC Kriens-Luzern37-27Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun30-34HC Kriens-Luzern
HC Kriens-Luzern33-32Wacker Thun
Wacker Thun32-33HC Kriens-Luzern

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wacker Thun 1474 · HC Kriens-Luzern 1609

	Wacker Thun	HC Kriens-Luzern
Our model	41%	59%
Market	16%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 65.1 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.1Wacker Thun 30.9 · HC Kriens-Luzern 34.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Kriens-Luzern (rating 1474 vs 1609).
HC Kriens-Luzern is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours HC Kriens-Luzern: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Wacker Thun	HC Kriens-Luzern
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.1 / 31.1	36.3 / 30.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.4 / 30.2	36.8 / 31
Est. result	31	34

Est. total65.1

Line O/U65.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.50

X11.00

21.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.95

2 (-4.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.75

Under 65.51.95

Diff.: 1.2 · Est. total: 64.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:16 +1’	5.50	11.00	1.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wacker Thun 0–0–6 HC Kriens-Luzern

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/09/26 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	31-26	Wacker Thun
25/03/26 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	31-43	HC Kriens-Luzern
15/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	37-27	Wacker Thun
03/09/25 Switzerland MNLA	Wacker Thun	30-34	HC Kriens-Luzern
05/04/25 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	33-32	Wacker Thun
01/03/25 Switzerland Cup	Wacker Thun	32-33	HC Kriens-Luzern

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	10	10	0	0	363	301	20
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	11	9	1	1	381	320	19
3	Pfadi Winterthur	11	6	1	4	341	312	13
4	BSV Bern Muri	10	5	1	4	306	279	11
5	Wacker Thun	10	4	1	5	311	311	9
6	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	10	4	0	6	287	295	8
7	Amicitia Zurich	10	4	0	6	313	326	8
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	10	3	0	7	256	281	6
9	RTV 1879 Basel	10	3	0	7	297	335	6
10	Handball Stafa	10	1	0	9	270	365	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wacker Thun	HC Kriens-Luzern
Kadetten Schaffhausen	28-32 L	38-32 W
Handball Stafa	30-33 L	42-33 W
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	25-23 W	34-32 W
Pfadi Winterthur	34-33 W	34-29 W
BSV Bern Muri	30-30 D	37-32 W
HSC Suhr Aarau	27-28 L	32-24 W
Amicitia Zurich	38-30 W	43-35 W
RTV 1879 Basel	38-29 W	38-32 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: HC Kriens-Luzern (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wacker Thun

WLLWLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-32	L
14/10	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	30-33	L
03/10	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	25-23	W
26/09	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	34-33	W
23/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	30-30	D
12/09	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	27-28	L
05/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	38-30	W
02/09	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	26-31	L
29/08	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	35-42	L
26/08	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	38-29	W

HC Kriens-Luzern

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	32-24	W
10/10	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	34-32	W
03/10	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	38-32	W
26/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	37-32	W
23/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	43-35	W
20/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	38-32	W
05/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	42-33	W
02/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	31-26	W
30/08	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	34-26	W
26/08	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	34-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wacker Thun vs HC Kriens-Luzern?

Our model gives 73% to HC Kriens-Luzern.

How many points are expected in Wacker Thun vs HC Kriens-Luzern?

The model estimates 65.1 total points (Wacker Thun 30.9 · HC Kriens-Luzern 34.1).