Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 21/10, 19:15

Prediction: HSC Suhr Aarau vs Pfadi Winterthur

Team pages: HSC Suhr Aarau · Pfadi Winterthur

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.4Total

HSC Suhr Aarau27.7

Pfadi Winterthur29.7

1X2

36% 64%

HSC Suhr Aarau Pfadi Winterthur

Recent form · 10 last

HSC Suhr Aarau 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWLLL

Pfadi Winterthur 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWLLWW

Head-to-head

HSC Suhr Aarau 1–5 Pfadi Winterthur (6 last)

Pfadi Winterthur33-24HSC Suhr Aarau
Pfadi Winterthur34-27HSC Suhr Aarau
Pfadi Winterthur36-30HSC Suhr Aarau
HSC Suhr Aarau29-33Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur34-25HSC Suhr Aarau
HSC Suhr Aarau31-26Pfadi Winterthur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSC Suhr Aarau 1454 · Pfadi Winterthur 1549

	HSC Suhr Aarau	Pfadi Winterthur
Our model	46%	54%
Market	26%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 57.4 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.4HSC Suhr Aarau 27.7 · Pfadi Winterthur 29.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pfadi Winterthur (rating 1454 vs 1549).
H2H favours Pfadi Winterthur: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSC Suhr Aarau	Pfadi Winterthur
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.4 / 28.1	30.9 / 28.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.4 / 26.8	30.8 / 30.2
Est. result	28	30

Est. total57.4

Line O/U58.5

Diff.1.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.40

X8.50

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.85

2 (-2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 1.5 · Est. total: 57

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:58 +17’	3.40	8.50	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HSC Suhr Aarau 1–0–5 Pfadi Winterthur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	33-24	HSC Suhr Aarau
14/03/26 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	34-27	HSC Suhr Aarau
30/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	36-30	HSC Suhr Aarau
19/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	29-33	Pfadi Winterthur
01/10/25 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	34-25	HSC Suhr Aarau
08/03/25 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	31-26	Pfadi Winterthur

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	10	10	0	0	363	301	20
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	10	8	1	1	349	292	17
3	Pfadi Winterthur	10	5	1	4	309	286	11
4	BSV Bern Muri	9	4	1	4	271	260	9
5	Wacker Thun	9	4	1	4	283	279	9
6	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	10	4	0	6	287	295	8
7	HSC Suhr Aarau	9	3	0	6	230	249	6
8	Amicitia Zurich	9	3	0	6	275	297	6
9	RTV 1879 Basel	9	3	0	6	268	297	6
10	Handball Stafa	9	1	0	8	251	330	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSC Suhr Aarau	Pfadi Winterthur
HC Kriens-Luzern	24-32 L	29-34 L
BSV Bern Muri	26-27 L	27-25 W
Amicitia Zurich	23-27 L	32-27 W
Handball Stafa	31-21 W	39-21 W
Wacker Thun	28-27 W	33-34 L
RTV 1879 Basel	22-23 L	34-30 W
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	32-31 W	25-27 L
Kadetten Schaffhausen	20-28 L	28-35 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Pfadi Winterthur (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSC Suhr Aarau

WLLWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	24-32	L
03/10	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	26-27	L
27/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	23-27	L
23/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	31-21	W
12/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	28-27	W
05/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	22-23	L
02/09	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	32-31	W
30/08	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	24-33	L
26/08	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	20-28	L
25/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	34-32	W

Pfadi Winterthur

LWWLDWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	27-25	W
03/10	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	32-27	W
26/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	33-34	L
23/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-35	L
16/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	34-30	W
12/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-29	D
06/09	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	25-27	L
02/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	39-21	W
30/08	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	33-24	W
26/08	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSC Suhr Aarau vs Pfadi Winterthur?

Our model gives 64% to Pfadi Winterthur.

How many points are expected in HSC Suhr Aarau vs Pfadi Winterthur?

The model estimates 57.4 total points (HSC Suhr Aarau 27.7 · Pfadi Winterthur 29.7).