Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 21/10, 19:15

Prediction: BSV Bern Muri vs Handball Stafa

Team pages: BSV Bern Muri · Handball Stafa

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.3Total

BSV Bern Muri35.6

Handball Stafa27.7

1X2

86% 14%

BSV Bern Muri Handball Stafa

Markets

Under 65.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

BSV Bern Muri 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWDLWL

Handball Stafa 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

BSV Bern Muri 6–0 Handball Stafa (6 last)

Handball Stafa21-34BSV Bern Muri
Handball Stafa23-36BSV Bern Muri
BSV Bern Muri48-35Handball Stafa
BSV Bern Muri47-31Handball Stafa
Handball Stafa31-40BSV Bern Muri
BSV Bern Muri35-25Handball Stafa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BSV Bern Muri 1554 · Handball Stafa 1396

	BSV Bern Muri	Handball Stafa
Our model	79%	21%
Market	86%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 63.3 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · -2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.3BSV Bern Muri 35.6 · Handball Stafa 27.7

Over / Under 65.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~61.2 pts · strength 4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BSV Bern Muri (rating 1554 vs 1396).
BSV Bern Muri is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours BSV Bern Muri: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BSV Bern Muri	Handball Stafa
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.1 / 29.1	28.3 / 36.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.6 / 29.2	28.6 / 35.2
Est. result	36	28

Est. total63.3

Line O/U65.5

Diff.2.2

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.04

X16.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.85

2 (+8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.85

Under 65.51.85

Diff.: 3.55 · Est. total: 61.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:42 +33’	1.04	16.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BSV Bern Muri 6–0–0 Handball Stafa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Switzerland MNLA	Handball Stafa	21-34	BSV Bern Muri
14/03/26 Switzerland MNLA	Handball Stafa	23-36	BSV Bern Muri
18/02/26 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	48-35	Handball Stafa
24/09/25 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	47-31	Handball Stafa
17/11/24 Switzerland Cup	Handball Stafa	31-40	BSV Bern Muri
15/11/15 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	35-25	Handball Stafa

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	10	10	0	0	363	301	20
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	10	8	1	1	349	292	17
3	Pfadi Winterthur	10	5	1	4	309	286	11
4	BSV Bern Muri	9	4	1	4	271	260	9
5	Wacker Thun	9	4	1	4	283	279	9
6	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	10	4	0	6	287	295	8
7	HSC Suhr Aarau	9	3	0	6	230	249	6
8	Amicitia Zurich	9	3	0	6	275	297	6
9	RTV 1879 Basel	9	3	0	6	268	297	6
10	Handball Stafa	9	1	0	8	251	330	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BSV Bern Muri	Handball Stafa
Pfadi Winterthur	25-27 L	21-39 L
HSC Suhr Aarau	27-26 W	21-31 L
HC Kriens-Luzern	32-37 L	33-42 L
Wacker Thun	30-30 D	33-30 W
Amicitia Zurich	34-26 W	33-39 L
Kadetten Schaffhausen	29-31 L	34-45 L
RTV 1879 Basel	30-28 W	31-39 L
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	30-34 L	24-31 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: BSV Bern Muri (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BSV Bern Muri

LLWWLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	25-27	L
03/10	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	27-26	W
26/09	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	32-37	L
23/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	30-30	D
16/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	34-26	W
06/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-31	L
02/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	30-28	W
29/08	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	34-21	W
26/08	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	30-34	L
02/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	30-31	L

Handball Stafa

LLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	33-30	W
03/10	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	34-45	L
26/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	31-39	L
23/09	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	21-31	L
16/09	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	24-31	L
05/09	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	33-42	L
02/09	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	21-39	L
29/08	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	21-34	L
26/08	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	33-39	L
25/04	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	32-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BSV Bern Muri vs Handball Stafa?

Our model gives 86% to BSV Bern Muri.

How many points are expected in BSV Bern Muri vs Handball Stafa?

The model estimates 63.3 total points (BSV Bern Muri 35.6 · Handball Stafa 27.7).

Over or under 65.5 points?

Recent history points to under 65.5 points (70%).