Handball · France Proligue · 25/09, 20:30
Prediction: Creteil vs Sarrebourg
Team pages: Creteil · Sarrebourg
Prediction summary
Estimated points
59.3Total
Creteil30.2
Sarrebourg29.1
1X2
Creteil
Sarrebourg
Recent form · 10 last
Creteil
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Sarrebourg
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Creteil
0–2
Sarrebourg
(2 last)
- Sarrebourg24-23Creteil
- Creteil27-33Sarrebourg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Creteil 1513 · Sarrebourg 1479
| Creteil | Sarrebourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 73% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
59.3 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -1.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points59.3Creteil 30.2 · Sarrebourg 29.1
Match keys
- Creteil is a clear favourite (74% market).
- H2H favours Sarrebourg: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Creteil | Sarrebourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 30.8 / 30.5 | 27.5 / 29.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 31 / 31.4 | 29.6 / 31.4 |
| Est. result | 30 | 29 |
Est. total59.3
Line O/U60.5
Diff.1.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Creteil 0–0–2 Sarrebourg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 France Proligue | Sarrebourg | 24-23 | Creteil |
| 26/09/25 France Proligue | Creteil | 27-33 | Sarrebourg |
Standings · France Proligue
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivry | 3 | 3 | 0 | 112 | 87 | 6 |
| 2 | Cournon d'Auvergne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 99 | 83 | 6 |
| 3 | Creteil | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100 | 89 | 6 |
| 4 | JS Cherbourg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 104 | 95 | 6 |
| 5 | Billere | 3 | 3 | 0 | 92 | 86 | 6 |
| 6 | Istres Provence | 3 | 1 | 2 | 87 | 80 | 2 |
| 7 | Valence | 3 | 1 | 2 | 100 | 106 | 2 |
| 8 | Pontault-Combault | 3 | 1 | 2 | 89 | 95 | 2 |
| 9 | US Saintes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 81 | 89 | 2 |
| 10 | Massy | 3 | 1 | 2 | 90 | 92 | 2 |
| 11 | Grand Besançon | 3 | 1 | 2 | 93 | 91 | 2 |
| 12 | Sarrebourg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 85 | 96 | 2 |
| 13 | Dijon | 3 | 1 | 2 | 98 | 92 | 2 |
| 14 | Draguignan VHB | 3 | 1 | 2 | 81 | 97 | 2 |
| 15 | Val D'Oise | 3 | 0 | 3 | 79 | 90 | 0 |
| 16 | Frontignan | 3 | 0 | 3 | 87 | 109 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Creteil | Sarrebourg |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Besançon | 32-28 W | 34-31 W |
| Angers | 34-29 W | 26-30 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Creteil (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Creteil
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Frontignan France Proligue |
33-28 | W |
| 11/09 | Massy France Proligue |
35-33 | W |
| 04/09 | Grand Besançon France Proligue |
32-28 | W |
| 24/05 | Caen Handball France Proligue |
25-37 | L |
| 21/05 | Caen Handball France Proligue |
30-31 | L |
| 07/05 | Massy France Proligue |
33-23 | W |
| 30/04 | Angers France Proligue |
34-29 | W |
| 18/04 | Sarrebourg France Proligue |
23-24 | L |
| 14/04 | Valence France Proligue |
27-36 | L |
| 10/04 | Frontignan France Proligue |
36-36 | D |
Sarrebourg
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Val D'Oise France Proligue |
31-30 | W |
| 11/09 | Ivry France Proligue |
26-33 | L |
| 05/09 | Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue |
28-33 | L |
| 07/05 | Grand Besançon France Proligue |
34-31 | W |
| 24/04 | USM Saran France Proligue |
29-30 | L |
| 18/04 | Creteil France Proligue |
24-23 | W |
| 14/04 | Angers France Proligue |
26-30 | L |
| 10/04 | Pontault-Combault France Proligue |
26-31 | L |
| 03/04 | JS Cherbourg France Proligue |
22-25 | L |
| 28/03 | Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue |
29-30 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Creteil vs Sarrebourg?
Our model gives 74% to Creteil.
How many points are expected in Creteil vs Sarrebourg?
The model estimates 59.3 total points (Creteil 30.2 · Sarrebourg 29.1).