Handball · France Proligue · 25/09, 20:30

Prediction: JS Cherbourg vs Frontignan

Team pages: JS Cherbourg · Frontignan

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66.4Total

JS Cherbourg33.7

Frontignan32.7

1X2

66% 34%

JS Cherbourg Frontignan

Markets

Over 63.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

JS Cherbourg 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLWWW

Frontignan 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

JS Cherbourg 1–1–4 Frontignan (6 last)

Frontignan32-29JS Cherbourg
JS Cherbourg37-36Frontignan
Frontignan33-27JS Cherbourg
JS Cherbourg35-39Frontignan
JS Cherbourg29-29Frontignan
Frontignan39-33JS Cherbourg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JS Cherbourg 1511 · Frontignan 1425

	JS Cherbourg	Frontignan
Our model	71%	29%
Market	56%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 66.4 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +2.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66.4JS Cherbourg 33.7 · Frontignan 32.7

Over / Under 63.5Over · 75%recent trend · ~66.6 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JS Cherbourg (rating 1511 vs 1425).
JS Cherbourg is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Frontignan: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	JS Cherbourg	Frontignan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.9 / 33.1	32.3 / 35.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.6 / 32.4	31.6 / 36.4
Est. result	34	33

Est. total66.4

Line O/U63.5

Diff.2.9

Over / Under75% / 25%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 3.05 · Est. total: 66.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:46 +16’	1.60	8.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JS Cherbourg 1–1–4 Frontignan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/03/26 France Proligue	Frontignan	32-29	JS Cherbourg
24/10/25 France Proligue	JS Cherbourg	37-36	Frontignan
08/04/25 France Proligue	Frontignan	33-27	JS Cherbourg
13/09/24 France Proligue	JS Cherbourg	35-39	Frontignan
17/05/24 France Proligue	JS Cherbourg	29-29	Frontignan
06/10/23 France Proligue	Frontignan	39-33	JS Cherbourg

Standings · France Proligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ivry	3	3	0	112	87	6
2	Cournon d'Auvergne	3	3	0	99	83	6
3	Creteil	3	3	0	100	89	6
4	JS Cherbourg	3	3	0	104	95	6
5	Billere	3	3	0	92	86	6
6	Istres Provence	3	1	2	87	80	2
7	Valence	3	1	2	100	106	2
8	Pontault-Combault	3	1	2	89	95	2
9	US Saintes	3	1	2	81	89	2
10	Massy	3	1	2	90	92	2
11	Grand Besançon	3	1	2	93	91	2
12	Sarrebourg	3	1	2	85	96	2
13	Dijon	3	1	2	98	92	2
14	Draguignan VHB	3	1	2	81	97	2
15	Val D'Oise	3	0	3	79	90	0
16	Frontignan	3	0	3	87	109	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JS Cherbourg	Frontignan
Pontault-Combault	31-29 W	34-41 L
Valence	36-35 W	39-34 W
Cournon d'Auvergne	35-34 W	28-27 W
Ivry	30-39 L	29-38 L
Grand Besançon	31-29 W	32-39 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: JS Cherbourg (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JS Cherbourg

LWLWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/09	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	31-29	W
11/09	Draguignan VHB France Proligue	37-31	W
05/09	Valence France Proligue	36-35	W
24/05	Billere France Proligue	29-37	L
21/05	Billere France Proligue	35-30	W
07/05	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	32-35	L
01/05	Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue	35-34	W
24/04	Ivry France Proligue	30-39	L
17/04	Grand Besançon France Proligue	31-29	W
14/04	Billere France Proligue	23-32	L

Frontignan

LDWLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/09	Creteil France Proligue	28-33	L
11/09	Dijon France Proligue	30-38	L
04/09	Ivry France Proligue	29-38	L
07/05	Valence France Proligue	39-34	W
01/05	Grand Besançon France Proligue	32-39	L
24/04	Caen Handball France Proligue	35-37	L
18/04	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	34-41	L
14/04	Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue	28-27	W
10/04	Creteil France Proligue	36-36	D
03/04	Massy France Proligue	32-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JS Cherbourg vs Frontignan?

Our model gives 66% to JS Cherbourg.

How many points are expected in JS Cherbourg vs Frontignan?

The model estimates 66.4 total points (JS Cherbourg 33.7 · Frontignan 32.7).

Over or under 63.5 points?

Recent history points to over 63.5 points (75%).