Handball · France Proligue · 03/10, 20:30

Prediction: Sarrebourg vs Massy

Team pages: Sarrebourg · Massy

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.7Total

Sarrebourg30.2

Massy30.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

62% 38%

Sarrebourg Massy

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Sarrebourg 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLLWL

Massy 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Sarrebourg 4–2 Massy (6 last)

Massy27-29Sarrebourg
Sarrebourg30-39Massy
Massy22-24Sarrebourg
Massy25-26Sarrebourg
Sarrebourg29-27Massy
Massy38-34Sarrebourg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sarrebourg 1441 · Massy 1472

	Sarrebourg	Massy
Our model	56%	44%
Market	59%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 60.7 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.7Sarrebourg 30.2 · Massy 30.5

Match keys

H2H favours Sarrebourg: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sarrebourg	Massy
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.4 / 29.5	29.9 / 33
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.4 / 31.2	27.8 / 32.2
Est. result	30	31

Est. total60.7

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.52

X8.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.75

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 1.6 · Est. total: 59.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.52 → 1.52	Bet365 1.52
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +18’	1.52	8.50	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarrebourg 4–0–2 Massy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 France Cup	Massy	27-29	Sarrebourg
03/03/26 France Proligue	Sarrebourg	30-39	Massy
12/09/25 France Proligue	Massy	22-24	Sarrebourg
04/04/25 France Proligue	Massy	25-26	Sarrebourg
07/12/24 France Proligue	Sarrebourg	29-27	Massy
22/03/24 France Proligue	Massy	38-34	Sarrebourg

Standings · France Proligue

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cournon d'Auvergne	4	4	0	138	113	8
2	Billere	4	4	0	128	112	8
3	Creteil	4	4	0	129	117	8
4	JS Cherbourg	4	4	0	136	126	8
5	Ivry	4	3	1	138	119	6
6	Dijon	4	2	2	130	118	4
7	US Saintes	4	2	2	119	120	4
8	Istres Provence	3	1	2	87	80	2
9	Grand Besançon	4	1	3	124	129	2
10	Valence	4	1	3	130	138	2
11	Sarrebourg	4	1	3	113	125	2
12	Val D'Oise	4	1	3	111	120	2
13	Draguignan VHB	4	1	3	111	136	2
14	Pontault-Combault	3	1	2	89	95	2
15	Massy	4	1	3	116	128	2
16	Frontignan	4	0	4	118	141	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sarrebourg	Massy
Creteil	28-29 L	33-35 L
USM Saran	29-30 L	31-36 L
JS Cherbourg	22-25 L	20-30 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sarrebourg (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sarrebourg

LLLWLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	Creteil France Proligue	28-29	L
19/09	Val D'Oise France Proligue	31-30	W
11/09	Ivry France Proligue	26-33	L
05/09	Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue	28-33	L
07/05	Grand Besançon France Proligue	34-31	W
24/04	USM Saran France Proligue	29-30	L
18/04	Creteil France Proligue	24-23	W
14/04	Angers France Proligue	26-30	L
10/04	Pontault-Combault France Proligue	26-31	L
03/04	JS Cherbourg France Proligue	22-25	L

Massy

WLWLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/09	Billere France Proligue	26-36	L
18/09	Dijon France Proligue	31-30	W
11/09	Creteil France Proligue	33-35	L
04/09	US Saintes France Proligue	26-27	L
07/05	Creteil France Proligue	23-33	L
03/05	USM Saran France Proligue	31-36	L
24/04	Billere France Proligue	38-40	L
17/04	US Saintes France Proligue	36-31	W
10/04	JS Cherbourg France Proligue	20-30	L
03/04	Frontignan France Proligue	35-32	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sarrebourg vs Massy?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Sarrebourg 62% · Massy 38%).

How many points are expected in Sarrebourg vs Massy?

The model estimates 60.7 total points (Sarrebourg 30.2 · Massy 30.5).