Handball · France Proligue · 02/10, 20:00
Prediction: Valence vs Grand Besançon
Team pages: Valence · Grand Besançon
Prediction summary
Estimated points
63.8Total
Valence32.1
Grand Besançon31.7
1X2
Valence
Grand Besançon
Recent form · 10 last
Valence
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Grand Besançon
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valence
3–3
Grand Besançon
(6 last)
- Grand Besançon31-28Valence
- Valence29-27Grand Besançon
- Grand Besançon26-24Valence
- Valence39-30Grand Besançon
- Valence33-28Grand Besançon
- Grand Besançon33-25Valence
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valence 1463 · Grand Besançon 1446
| Valence | Grand Besançon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 60% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
63.8 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points63.8Valence 32.1 · Grand Besançon 31.7
Match keys
- Valence is a clear favourite (65% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Valence | Grand Besançon | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 31.4 / 34.2 | 31.1 / 32.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 32.6 / 34.8 | 31 / 32.6 |
| Est. result | 32 | 32 |
Est. total63.8
Line O/U63.5
Diff.0.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valence 3–0–3 Grand Besançon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 France Proligue | Grand Besançon | 31-28 | Valence |
| 07/11/25 France Proligue | Valence | 29-27 | Grand Besançon |
| 25/04/25 France Proligue | Grand Besançon | 26-24 | Valence |
| 20/09/24 France Proligue | Valence | 39-30 | Grand Besançon |
| 13/08/24 Club Friendlies | Valence | 33-28 | Grand Besançon |
| 16/02/24 France Proligue | Grand Besançon | 33-25 | Valence |
Standings · France Proligue
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cournon d'Auvergne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 138 | 113 | 8 |
| 2 | Billere | 4 | 4 | 0 | 128 | 112 | 8 |
| 3 | Creteil | 4 | 4 | 0 | 129 | 117 | 8 |
| 4 | JS Cherbourg | 4 | 4 | 0 | 136 | 126 | 8 |
| 5 | Ivry | 4 | 3 | 1 | 138 | 119 | 6 |
| 6 | Dijon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 130 | 118 | 4 |
| 7 | US Saintes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 119 | 120 | 4 |
| 8 | Istres Provence | 3 | 1 | 2 | 87 | 80 | 2 |
| 9 | Grand Besançon | 4 | 1 | 3 | 124 | 129 | 2 |
| 10 | Valence | 4 | 1 | 3 | 130 | 138 | 2 |
| 11 | Sarrebourg | 4 | 1 | 3 | 113 | 125 | 2 |
| 12 | Val D'Oise | 4 | 1 | 3 | 111 | 120 | 2 |
| 13 | Draguignan VHB | 4 | 1 | 3 | 111 | 136 | 2 |
| 14 | Pontault-Combault | 3 | 1 | 2 | 89 | 95 | 2 |
| 15 | Massy | 4 | 1 | 3 | 116 | 128 | 2 |
| 16 | Frontignan | 4 | 0 | 4 | 118 | 141 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valence | Grand Besançon |
|---|---|---|
| Val D'Oise | 30-32 L | 31-23 W |
| Ivry | 32-41 L | 27-36 L |
| JS Cherbourg | 35-36 L | 29-31 L |
| Frontignan | 34-39 L | 39-32 W |
| US Saintes | 24-30 L | 31-38 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valence
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Val D'Oise France Proligue |
30-32 | L |
| 17/09 | Ivry France Proligue |
32-41 | L |
| 11/09 | Istres Provence France Proligue |
33-29 | W |
| 05/09 | JS Cherbourg France Proligue |
35-36 | L |
| 24/05 | Pontault-Combault France Proligue |
33-36 | L |
| 20/05 | Pontault-Combault France Proligue |
30-32 | L |
| 07/05 | Frontignan France Proligue |
34-39 | L |
| 01/05 | Caen Handball France Proligue |
35-41 | L |
| 24/04 | US Saintes France Proligue |
24-30 | L |
| 17/04 | Angers France Proligue |
28-26 | W |
Grand Besançon
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | US Saintes France Proligue |
31-38 | L |
| 18/09 | Billere France Proligue |
34-36 | L |
| 11/09 | Val D'Oise France Proligue |
31-23 | W |
| 04/09 | Creteil France Proligue |
28-32 | L |
| 07/05 | Sarrebourg France Proligue |
31-34 | L |
| 01/05 | Frontignan France Proligue |
39-32 | W |
| 24/04 | Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue |
30-35 | L |
| 17/04 | JS Cherbourg France Proligue |
29-31 | L |
| 14/04 | Ivry France Proligue |
27-36 | L |
| 10/04 | Valence France Proligue |
31-28 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valence vs Grand Besançon?
Our model gives 65% to Valence.
How many points are expected in Valence vs Grand Besançon?
The model estimates 63.8 total points (Valence 32.1 · Grand Besançon 31.7).