Handball · Spain Liga Guerreras Women · 09/09, 20:30

Prediction: BM Porrino (W) vs BM Morvedre (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

46.7Total

BM Porrino (W)24.7

BM Morvedre (W)22.1

1X2

80% 20%

BM Porrino (W) BM Morvedre (W)

Recent form · 10 last

BM Porrino (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDWWLD

BM Morvedre (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDLWWWLL

Head-to-head

BM Porrino (W) 6–0 BM Morvedre (W) (6 last)

BM Porrino (W)29-20BM Morvedre (W)
BM Morvedre (W)24-25BM Porrino (W)
BM Porrino (W)27-19BM Morvedre (W)
BM Morvedre (W)23-27BM Porrino (W)
BM Porrino (W)36-25BM Morvedre (W)
BM Morvedre (W)18-23BM Porrino (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Porrino (W) 1542 · BM Morvedre (W) 1468

	BM Porrino (W)	BM Morvedre (W)
Our model	70%	30%
Market	80%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 46.7 points · Bet365 line 48.5 · -1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points46.7BM Porrino (W) 24.7 · BM Morvedre (W) 22.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BM Porrino (W) (rating 1542 vs 1468).
BM Porrino (W) is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours BM Porrino (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Porrino (W)	BM Morvedre (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	24.7 / 22.8	22.7 / 23.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.6 / 25.8	23.2 / 23.6
Est. result	25	22

Est. total46.7

Line O/U48.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.13

X11.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.85

2 (+5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 48.51.85

Under 48.51.85

Diff.: 1.55 · Est. total: 46.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:29 +18’	1.13	11.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Porrino (W) 6–0–0 BM Morvedre (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Porrino (W)	29-20	BM Morvedre (W)
09/11/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Morvedre (W)	24-25	BM Porrino (W)
03/05/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Porrino (W)	27-19	BM Morvedre (W)
15/01/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Morvedre (W)	23-27	BM Porrino (W)
14/05/22 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Porrino (W)	36-25	BM Morvedre (W)
14/01/22 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Morvedre (W)	18-23	BM Porrino (W)

Standings · Spain Liga Guerreras Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bera Bera (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Beti-Onak (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Elda Prestigio (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Granollers (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Morvedre (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Porrino (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pozuelo de Calatrava (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rocasa (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Guardes (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	BM Elche (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sporting La Rioja (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CBF Malaga (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oviedo BM (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Porrino (W)	BM Morvedre (W)
Atletico Guardes (W)	20-15 W	23-23 D
Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	22-19 W	22-25 L
BM Elche (W)	18-22 L	25-25 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BM Porrino (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Porrino (W)

LLWWWDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/05	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	33-33	D
17/05	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	28-32	L
02/05	Atletico Guardes (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	20-15	W
18/04	Sporting La Rioja (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-22	W
04/04	BM Granollers (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	27-27	D
29/03	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	22-19	W
21/03	BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	29-20	W
15/03	Atletico Guardes (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	27-18	W
28/02	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	18-20	L
21/02	BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	18-22	L

BM Morvedre (W)

WLDDLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/05	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	22-25	L
23/05	Aula Cultural (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	20-28	L
16/05	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	22-20	W
02/05	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	24-20	W
29/04	Aula Cultural (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	28-25	W
25/04	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	19-25	L
15/04	Atletico Guardes (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	23-23	D
01/04	BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-25	D
21/03	BM Porrino (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	20-29	L
14/03	Aula Cultural (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	24-17	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Porrino (W) vs BM Morvedre (W)?

Our model gives 80% to BM Porrino (W).

How many points are expected in BM Porrino (W) vs BM Morvedre (W)?

The model estimates 46.7 total points (BM Porrino (W) 24.7 · BM Morvedre (W) 22.1).