Handball · Spain Liga Guerreras Women · 12/09, 19:30
Prediction: BM Morvedre (W) vs Atletico Guardes (W)
Team pages: BM Morvedre (W) · Atletico Guardes (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
44.4Total
BM Morvedre (W)21.9
Atletico Guardes (W)22.5
1X2
BM Morvedre (W)
Atletico Guardes (W)
Recent form · 10 last
BM Morvedre (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Atletico Guardes (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BM Morvedre (W)
0–1–5
Atletico Guardes (W)
(6 last)
- BM Morvedre (W)23-23Atletico Guardes (W)
- BM Morvedre (W)25-27Atletico Guardes (W)
- Atletico Guardes (W)20-16BM Morvedre (W)
- Atletico Guardes (W)32-23BM Morvedre (W)
- BM Morvedre (W)25-34Atletico Guardes (W)
- BM Morvedre (W)24-26Atletico Guardes (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · BM Morvedre (W) 1459 · Atletico Guardes (W) 1545
| BM Morvedre (W) | Atletico Guardes (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 15% | 76% |
Estimated total (ours)
44.4 points · Bet365 line 47.5 · -3.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points44.4BM Morvedre (W) 21.9 · Atletico Guardes (W) 22.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Guardes (W) (rating 1459 vs 1545).
- Atletico Guardes (W) is a clear favourite (71% market).
- H2H favours Atletico Guardes (W): 5-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| BM Morvedre (W) | Atletico Guardes (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 22.2 / 24.7 | 21.2 / 22.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 21.4 / 24 | 23.6 / 21.6 |
| Est. result | 22 | 23 |
Est. total44.4
Line O/U47.5
Diff.3.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Morvedre (W) 0–1–5 Atletico Guardes (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 Spain Liga Guerreras Women | BM Morvedre (W) | 23-23 | Atletico Guardes (W) |
| 04/02/26 Spain Copa de la Reina Women | BM Morvedre (W) | 25-27 | Atletico Guardes (W) |
| 20/12/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women | Atletico Guardes (W) | 20-16 | BM Morvedre (W) |
| 01/02/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women | Atletico Guardes (W) | 32-23 | BM Morvedre (W) |
| 14/09/24 Spain Liga Guerreras Women | BM Morvedre (W) | 25-34 | Atletico Guardes (W) |
| 26/03/22 Spain Liga Guerreras Women | BM Morvedre (W) | 24-26 | Atletico Guardes (W) |
Standings · Spain Liga Guerreras Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBF Malaga (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 14 | 2 |
| 2 | Atletico Guardes (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 17 | 2 |
| 3 | Bera Bera (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 17 | 2 |
| 4 | BM Porrino (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 19 | 2 |
| 5 | BM Elche (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 26 | 2 |
| 6 | Elda Prestigio (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 19 | 2 |
| 7 | BM Granollers (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | 2 |
| 8 | Oviedo BM (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 9 | Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 | Rocasa (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 | BM Morvedre (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 | Beti-Onak (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 | Sporting La Rioja (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 | Pozuelo de Calatrava (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BM Morvedre (W) | Atletico Guardes (W) |
|---|---|---|
| BM Porrino (W) | 19-27 L | 15-20 L |
| Aula Cultural (W) | 20-28 L | 26-24 W |
| Elda Prestigio (W) | 22-20 W | 26-27 L |
| BM Elche (W) | 25-25 D | 12-16 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BM Morvedre (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | BM Porrino (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
19-27 | L |
| 30/05 | Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
22-25 | L |
| 23/05 | Aula Cultural (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
20-28 | L |
| 16/05 | Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
22-20 | W |
| 02/05 | Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
24-20 | W |
| 29/04 | Aula Cultural (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
28-25 | W |
| 25/04 | Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
19-25 | L |
| 15/04 | Atletico Guardes (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
23-23 | D |
| 01/04 | BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
25-25 | D |
| 21/03 | BM Porrino (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
20-29 | L |
Atletico Guardes (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Sporting La Rioja (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
29-17 | W |
| 02/05 | BM Porrino (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
15-20 | L |
| 15/04 | BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
23-23 | D |
| 04/04 | Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
26-27 | L |
| 31/03 | Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
25-21 | W |
| 18/03 | BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
12-16 | L |
| 15/03 | BM Porrino (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
18-27 | L |
| 10/03 | Beti-Onak (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
19-24 | L |
| 28/02 | Aula Cultural (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
26-24 | W |
| 22/02 | CBF Malaga (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women |
19-25 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BM Morvedre (W) vs Atletico Guardes (W)?
Our model gives 71% to Atletico Guardes (W).
How many points are expected in BM Morvedre (W) vs Atletico Guardes (W)?
The model estimates 44.4 total points (BM Morvedre (W) 21.9 · Atletico Guardes (W) 22.5).