Handball · Spain Liga Guerreras Women · 16/09, 20:30

Prediction: BM Porrino (W) vs Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)

Team pages: BM Porrino (W) · Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

47.3Total

BM Porrino (W)25.1

Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)22.2

1X2

74% 26%

BM Porrino (W) Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)

Recent form · 10 last

BM Porrino (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWLDWL

Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWWLL

Head-to-head

BM Porrino (W) 4–1 Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) (5 last)

Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)24-21BM Porrino (W)
Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)19-22BM Porrino (W)
BM Porrino (W)26-22Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
BM Porrino (W)33-27Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)20-29BM Porrino (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Porrino (W) 1546 · Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) 1486

	BM Porrino (W)	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
Our model	68%	32%
Market	71%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 47.3 points · Bet365 line 45.5 · +1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points47.3BM Porrino (W) 25.1 · Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) 22.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BM Porrino (W) (rating 1546 vs 1486).
BM Porrino (W) is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours BM Porrino (W): 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Porrino (W)	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	25.4 / 23.1	23.9 / 24
Points F\|A (Last 5)	24.8 / 25	23.8 / 24.6
Est. result	25	22

Est. total47.3

Line O/U45.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.27

X8.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.85

2 (+3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 45.51.85

Under 45.51.85

Diff.: 2.7 · Est. total: 48.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.27	Bet365 1.27
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:38 +9’	1.27	8.50	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Porrino (W) 4–0–1 Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Club Friendlies Women	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	24-21	BM Porrino (W)
29/03/26 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	19-22	BM Porrino (W)
15/11/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Porrino (W)	26-22	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
30/04/22 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Porrino (W)	33-27	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
11/01/22 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	20-29	BM Porrino (W)

Standings · Spain Liga Guerreras Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Guardes (W)	2	2	0	55	33	4
2	BM Elche (W)	2	2	0	57	42	4
3	Bera Bera (W)	2	2	0	48	34	4
4	Elda Prestigio (W)	2	2	0	46	41	4
5	Sporting La Rioja (W)	2	1	1	45	52	2
6	BM Granollers (W)	2	1	1	39	43	2
7	CBF Malaga (W)	2	1	1	46	36	2
8	Rocasa (W)	2	1	1	58	54	2
9	BM Porrino (W)	2	1	1	43	45	2
10	Oviedo BM (W)	2	1	1	36	34	2
11	Beti-Onak (W)	2	0	2	39	50	0
12	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	2	0	2	42	54	0
13	BM Morvedre (W)	2	0	2	35	53	0
14	Pozuelo de Calatrava (W)	2	0	2	32	50	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Porrino (W)	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
BM Elche (W)	16-26 L	21-25 L
BM Morvedre (W)	27-19 W	25-22 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Porrino (W)

WWWDWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	16-26	L
09/09	BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	27-19	W
23/05	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	33-33	D
17/05	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	28-32	L
02/05	Atletico Guardes (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	20-15	W
18/04	Sporting La Rioja (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-22	W
04/04	BM Granollers (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	27-27	D
29/03	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	22-19	W
21/03	BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	29-20	W
15/03	Atletico Guardes (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	27-18	W

Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)

LWWWLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	23-32	L
09/09	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	19-22	L
30/05	BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-22	W
23/05	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	23-22	W
16/05	Aula Cultural (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	29-25	W
02/05	BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	20-24	L
29/04	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	32-24	W
25/04	Aula Cultural (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	21-19	W
18/04	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	26-25	W
04/04	BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	21-25	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Porrino (W) vs Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)?

Our model gives 74% to BM Porrino (W).

How many points are expected in BM Porrino (W) vs Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)?

The model estimates 47.3 total points (BM Porrino (W) 25.1 · Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) 22.2).