Handball · Spain Liga Guerreras Women · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: Sporting La Rioja (W) vs BM Granollers (W)

Team pages: Sporting La Rioja (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

44.3Total

Sporting La Rioja (W)22.7

BM Granollers (W)21.6

1X2

60% 40%

Sporting La Rioja (W) BM Granollers (W)

Markets

Under 47.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting La Rioja (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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BM Granollers (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sporting La Rioja (W) 2–1–3 BM Granollers (W) (6 last)

Sporting La Rioja (W)27-23BM Granollers (W)
BM Granollers (W)21-22Sporting La Rioja (W)
Sporting La Rioja (W)22-23BM Granollers (W)
BM Granollers (W)32-21Sporting La Rioja (W)
BM Granollers (W)24-23Sporting La Rioja (W)
Sporting La Rioja (W)22-22BM Granollers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting La Rioja (W) 1523 · BM Granollers (W) 1485

	Sporting La Rioja (W)	BM Granollers (W)
Our model	65%	35%
Market	49%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 44.3 points · Bet365 line 47.5 · -3.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points44.3Sporting La Rioja (W) 22.7 · BM Granollers (W) 21.6

Over / Under 47.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~45.1 pts · strength 2

Match keys

H2H favours BM Granollers (W): 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sporting La Rioja (W)	BM Granollers (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	21.5 / 22.2	23 / 23.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	21.4 / 24.4	23.2 / 21.8
Est. result	23	22

Est. total44.3

Line O/U47.5

Diff.3.2

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X7.50

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 47.51.85

Under 47.51.85

Diff.: 2.35 · Est. total: 45.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:35 +15’	1.85	7.50	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting La Rioja (W) 2–1–3 BM Granollers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	Sporting La Rioja (W)	27-23	BM Granollers (W)
08/10/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Granollers (W)	21-22	Sporting La Rioja (W)
19/04/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	Sporting La Rioja (W)	22-23	BM Granollers (W)
28/12/24 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Granollers (W)	32-21	Sporting La Rioja (W)
20/05/23 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Granollers (W)	24-23	Sporting La Rioja (W)
29/04/23 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	Sporting La Rioja (W)	22-22	BM Granollers (W)

Standings · Spain Liga Guerreras Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CBF Malaga (W)	1	1	0	29	14	2
2	Atletico Guardes (W)	1	1	0	29	17	2
3	Bera Bera (W)	1	1	0	26	17	2
4	BM Porrino (W)	1	1	0	27	19	2
5	BM Elche (W)	1	1	0	31	26	2
6	Elda Prestigio (W)	1	1	0	22	19	2
7	BM Granollers (W)	1	1	0	16	15	2
8	Oviedo BM (W)	1	0	1	15	16	0
9	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	1	0	1	19	22	0
10	Rocasa (W)	1	0	1	26	31	0
11	BM Morvedre (W)	1	0	1	19	27	0
12	Beti-Onak (W)	1	0	1	17	26	0
13	Sporting La Rioja (W)	1	0	1	17	29	0
14	Pozuelo de Calatrava (W)	1	0	1	14	29	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting La Rioja (W)	BM Granollers (W)
Bera Bera (W)	20-24 L	18-29 L
BM Porrino (W)	22-25 L	27-27 D
Aula Cultural (W)	25-19 W	31-19 W
CBF Malaga (W)	21-20 W	24-26 L
Beti-Onak (W)	22-19 W	20-25 L
San Jose Obrero (W)	28-24 W	25-24 W
Elda Prestigio (W)	21-16 W	28-22 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting La Rioja (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting La Rioja (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	Atletico Guardes (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	17-29	L
02/05	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	20-24	L
25/04	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	23-25	L
18/04	BM Porrino (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	22-25	L
04/04	Aula Cultural (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-19	W
01/04	CBF Malaga (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	21-20	W
21/03	Beti-Onak (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	22-19	W
14/03	San Jose Obrero (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	28-24	W
28/02	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	16-21	L
22/02	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	21-16	W

BM Granollers (W)

WLLWLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	Oviedo BM (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	16-15	W
18/04	BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	18-22	L
04/04	BM Porrino (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	27-27	D
28/03	Aula Cultural (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	31-19	W
21/03	CBF Malaga (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	24-26	L
14/03	Beti-Onak (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	20-25	L
01/03	San Jose Obrero (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-24	W
21/02	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	18-29	L
14/02	Sporting La Rioja (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	23-27	L
07/02	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	28-22	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting La Rioja (W) vs BM Granollers (W)?

Our model gives 60% to Sporting La Rioja (W).

How many points are expected in Sporting La Rioja (W) vs BM Granollers (W)?

The model estimates 44.3 total points (Sporting La Rioja (W) 22.7 · BM Granollers (W) 21.6).

Over or under 47.5 points?

Recent history points to under 47.5 points (65%).