Handball · Spain Liga Guerreras Women · 12/09, 19:30

Prediction: BM Elche (W) vs BM Porrino (W)

Team pages: BM Elche (W) · BM Porrino (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

44.7Total

BM Elche (W)23

BM Porrino (W)21.7

1X2

65% 35%

BM Elche (W) BM Porrino (W)

Recent form · 10 last

BM Elche (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWWLW

BM Porrino (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWWLDW

Head-to-head

BM Elche (W) 4–2 BM Porrino (W) (6 last)

BM Elche (W)22-18BM Porrino (W)
BM Porrino (W)27-24BM Elche (W)
BM Porrino (W)19-30BM Elche (W)
BM Elche (W)32-21BM Porrino (W)
BM Elche (W)21-16BM Porrino (W)
BM Porrino (W)20-19BM Elche (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Elche (W) 1576 · BM Porrino (W) 1539

	BM Elche (W)	BM Porrino (W)
Our model	65%	35%
Market	57%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 44.7 points · Bet365 line 48.5 · -3.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points44.7BM Elche (W) 23 · BM Porrino (W) 21.7

Match keys

BM Elche (W) is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours BM Elche (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Elche (W)	BM Porrino (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	22.5 / 20.9	25.6 / 22.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	24.2 / 21.8	26.6 / 24.2
Est. result	23	22

Est. total44.7

Line O/U48.5

Diff.3.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X7.50

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 48.51.85

Under 48.51.85

Diff.: 2.75 · Est. total: 45.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:45 +10’	1.60	7.50	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Elche (W) 4–0–2 BM Porrino (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Elche (W)	22-18	BM Porrino (W)
25/10/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Porrino (W)	27-24	BM Elche (W)
14/05/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Porrino (W)	19-30	BM Elche (W)
07/05/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Elche (W)	32-21	BM Porrino (W)
18/03/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Elche (W)	21-16	BM Porrino (W)
02/11/24 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	BM Porrino (W)	20-19	BM Elche (W)

Standings · Spain Liga Guerreras Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CBF Malaga (W)	1	1	0	29	14	2
2	Atletico Guardes (W)	1	1	0	29	17	2
3	Bera Bera (W)	1	1	0	26	17	2
4	BM Porrino (W)	1	1	0	27	19	2
5	BM Elche (W)	1	1	0	31	26	2
6	Elda Prestigio (W)	1	1	0	22	19	2
7	BM Granollers (W)	1	1	0	16	15	2
8	Oviedo BM (W)	1	0	1	15	16	0
9	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	1	0	1	19	22	0
10	Rocasa (W)	1	0	1	26	31	0
11	BM Morvedre (W)	1	0	1	19	27	0
12	Beti-Onak (W)	1	0	1	17	26	0
13	Sporting La Rioja (W)	1	0	1	17	29	0
14	Pozuelo de Calatrava (W)	1	0	1	14	29	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Elche (W)	BM Porrino (W)
Rocasa (W)	31-26 W	18-20 L
BM Granollers (W)	22-18 W	27-27 D
Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	25-21 W	22-19 W
BM Morvedre (W)	25-25 D	27-19 W
Atletico Guardes (W)	16-12 W	20-15 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BM Elche (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Elche (W)

WWLWDWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	31-26	W
03/05	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	19-25	L
25/04	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	24-19	W
18/04	BM Granollers (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	22-18	W
04/04	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-21	W
01/04	BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-25	D
18/03	Atletico Guardes (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	16-12	W
14/03	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	19-24	L
28/02	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	22-21	W
21/02	BM Porrino (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	22-18	W

BM Porrino (W)

LWWWDWWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	27-19	W
23/05	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	33-33	D
17/05	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	28-32	L
02/05	Atletico Guardes (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	20-15	W
18/04	Sporting La Rioja (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-22	W
04/04	BM Granollers (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	27-27	D
29/03	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	22-19	W
21/03	BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	29-20	W
15/03	Atletico Guardes (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	27-18	W
28/02	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	18-20	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Elche (W) vs BM Porrino (W)?

Our model gives 65% to BM Elche (W).

How many points are expected in BM Elche (W) vs BM Porrino (W)?

The model estimates 44.7 total points (BM Elche (W) 23 · BM Porrino (W) 21.7).