Handball · Spain Liga Guerreras Women · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) vs Rocasa (W)

Team pages: Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) · Rocasa (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

45.2Total

Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)22.4

Rocasa (W)22.7

1X2

32% 68%

Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) Rocasa (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Rocasa (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) 1–5 Rocasa (W) (6 last)

Rocasa (W)30-19Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
Rocasa (W)35-25Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)26-25Rocasa (W)
Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)18-23Rocasa (W)
Rocasa (W)25-21Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)24-29Rocasa (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) 1492 · Rocasa (W) 1548

	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	Rocasa (W)
Our model	52%	48%
Market	16%	74%

Estimated total (ours) 45.2 points · Bet365 line 49.5 · -4.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points45.2Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) 22.4 · Rocasa (W) 22.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rocasa (W) (rating 1492 vs 1548).
Rocasa (W) is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Rocasa (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	Rocasa (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	23.5 / 23	22.9 / 23.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	23.2 / 23	24.6 / 22.8
Est. result	22	23

Est. total45.2

Line O/U49.5

Diff.4.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.50

X9.50

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.80

2 (-4.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 49.51.85

Under 49.51.85

Diff.: 3.2 · Est. total: 46.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:47 +6’	5.50	9.50	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) 1–0–5 Rocasa (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Club Friendlies Women	Rocasa (W)	30-19	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
15/08/26 Club Friendlies Women	Rocasa (W)	35-25	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
18/04/26 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	26-25	Rocasa (W)
04/02/26 Spain Copa de la Reina Women	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	18-23	Rocasa (W)
21/12/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	Rocasa (W)	25-21	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)
21/05/22 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	24-29	Rocasa (W)

Standings · Spain Liga Guerreras Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CBF Malaga (W)	1	1	0	29	14	2
2	Atletico Guardes (W)	1	1	0	29	17	2
3	Bera Bera (W)	1	1	0	26	17	2
4	BM Porrino (W)	1	1	0	27	19	2
5	BM Elche (W)	1	1	0	31	26	2
6	Elda Prestigio (W)	1	1	0	22	19	2
7	BM Granollers (W)	1	1	0	16	15	2
8	Oviedo BM (W)	1	0	1	15	16	0
9	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	1	0	1	19	22	0
10	Rocasa (W)	1	0	1	26	31	0
11	BM Morvedre (W)	1	0	1	19	27	0
12	Beti-Onak (W)	1	0	1	17	26	0
13	Sporting La Rioja (W)	1	0	1	17	29	0
14	Pozuelo de Calatrava (W)	1	0	1	14	29	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	Rocasa (W)
Elda Prestigio (W)	19-22 L	16-24 L
BM Elche (W)	21-25 L	26-31 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	19-22	L
30/05	BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-22	W
23/05	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	23-22	W
16/05	Aula Cultural (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	29-25	W
02/05	BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	20-24	L
29/04	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	32-24	W
25/04	Aula Cultural (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	21-19	W
18/04	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	26-25	W
04/04	BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	21-25	L
29/03	BM Porrino (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	19-22	L

Rocasa (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	26-31	L
31/05	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	26-23	W
27/05	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	23-19	W
24/05	CBF Malaga (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	21-18	W
16/05	CBF Malaga (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	27-23	W
03/05	BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-19	W
25/04	BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	19-24	L
18/04	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-26	L
31/03	Atletico Guardes (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	21-25	L
21/03	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	16-24	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) vs Rocasa (W)?

Our model gives 68% to Rocasa (W).

How many points are expected in Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) vs Rocasa (W)?

The model estimates 45.2 total points (Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) 22.4 · Rocasa (W) 22.7).