Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 05/09, 19:30

Prediction: HC Elbflorenz 2006 vs TuS N-Lubbecke

Team pages: HC Elbflorenz 2006 · TuS N-Lubbecke

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.8Total

HC Elbflorenz 200632

TuS N-Lubbecke28.8

1X2

76% 24%

HC Elbflorenz 2006 TuS N-Lubbecke

Recent form · 10 last

HC Elbflorenz 2006 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWWWW

TuS N-Lubbecke 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWWWL

Head-to-head

HC Elbflorenz 2006 3–1–2 TuS N-Lubbecke (6 last)

TuS N-Lubbecke34-31HC Elbflorenz 2006
HC Elbflorenz 200635-30TuS N-Lubbecke
TuS N-Lubbecke24-28HC Elbflorenz 2006
HC Elbflorenz 200628-22TuS N-Lubbecke
HC Elbflorenz 200632-32TuS N-Lubbecke
TuS N-Lubbecke29-21HC Elbflorenz 2006

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Elbflorenz 2006 1571 · TuS N-Lubbecke 1491

	HC Elbflorenz 2006	TuS N-Lubbecke
Our model	70%	30%
Market	73%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 60.8 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.8HC Elbflorenz 2006 32 · TuS N-Lubbecke 28.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Elbflorenz 2006 (rating 1571 vs 1491).
HC Elbflorenz 2006 is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours HC Elbflorenz 2006: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Elbflorenz 2006	TuS N-Lubbecke
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.4 / 29.6	28.8 / 29.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.8 / 30.6	30.4 / 32.2
Est. result	32	29

Est. total60.8

Line O/U62.5

Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.22

X10.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 1.65 · Est. total: 60.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:18 +34’	1.22	10.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Elbflorenz 2006 3–1–2 TuS N-Lubbecke

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/03/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuS N-Lubbecke	34-31	HC Elbflorenz 2006
04/10/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HC Elbflorenz 2006	35-30	TuS N-Lubbecke
14/04/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuS N-Lubbecke	24-28	HC Elbflorenz 2006
01/11/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HC Elbflorenz 2006	28-22	TuS N-Lubbecke
02/03/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HC Elbflorenz 2006	32-32	TuS N-Lubbecke
07/10/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuS N-Lubbecke	29-21	HC Elbflorenz 2006

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VfL Eintracht Hagen	1	1	0	41	23	2
2	VFL Bad Schwartau	1	1	0	34	23	2
3	TV Emsdetten	1	1	0	34	25	2
4	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	1	1	0	42	34	2
5	HC Elbflorenz 2006	1	1	0	38	31	2
5	TUS Ferndorf	1	1	0	34	27	2
7	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	1	1	0	32	29	2
8	1. Vfl Potsdam	1	1	0	31	30	2
8	SC DHFK Leipzig	1	1	0	24	23	2
10	TSV GWD Minden	1	0	1	23	24	0
10	HSC 2000 Coburg	1	0	1	30	31	0
12	TuSEM Essen	1	0	1	29	32	0
13	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	1	0	1	27	34	0
13	TSV Bayer Dormagen	1	0	1	31	38	0
15	TV Grosswallstadt	1	0	1	34	42	0
16	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	1	0	1	25	34	0
17	TuS N-Lubbecke	1	0	1	23	34	0
18	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	1	0	1	23	41	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Elbflorenz 2006	TuS N-Lubbecke
TV 05/07 Huttenberg	28-29 L	26-24 W
HSG Krefeld	27-28 L	34-33 W
TuSEM Essen	33-32 W	30-29 W
HC Oppenweiler/Backnang	42-28 W	38-33 W
TUS Ferndorf	31-28 W	28-24 W
Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	32-27 W	22-30 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TuS N-Lubbecke (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Elbflorenz 2006

WWWWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	38-31	W
06/06	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	37-34	W
29/05	TV Grosswallstadt Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-29	W
25/05	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-30	W
08/05	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-29	L
01/05	HSG Krefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-28	L
26/04	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-32	W
17/04	HC Oppenweiler/Backnang Germany 2 Bundesliga	42-28	W
10/04	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-28	W
02/04	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-27	W

TuS N-Lubbecke

WLLWWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/08	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	23-34	L
06/06	HC Oppenweiler/Backnang Germany 2 Bundesliga	38-33	W
30/05	HSG Krefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-33	W
23/05	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-29	W
08/05	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-32	L
03/05	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-24	W
24/04	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-24	W
17/04	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	22-30	L
11/04	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-34	L
02/04	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Elbflorenz 2006 vs TuS N-Lubbecke?

Our model gives 76% to HC Elbflorenz 2006.

How many points are expected in HC Elbflorenz 2006 vs TuS N-Lubbecke?

The model estimates 60.8 total points (HC Elbflorenz 2006 32 · TuS N-Lubbecke 28.8).