Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 12/09, 19:30

Prediction: HSC 2000 Coburg vs TUS Ferndorf

Team pages: HSC 2000 Coburg · TUS Ferndorf

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.7Total

HSC 2000 Coburg30.1

TUS Ferndorf30.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

66% 34%

HSC 2000 Coburg TUS Ferndorf

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HSC 2000 Coburg 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWWDLL

TUS Ferndorf 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLLWW

Head-to-head

HSC 2000 Coburg 5–1 TUS Ferndorf (6 last)

HSC 2000 Coburg27-33TUS Ferndorf
TUS Ferndorf22-25HSC 2000 Coburg
HSC 2000 Coburg28-19TUS Ferndorf
TUS Ferndorf26-33HSC 2000 Coburg
TUS Ferndorf31-35HSC 2000 Coburg
HSC 2000 Coburg36-27TUS Ferndorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSC 2000 Coburg 1468 · TUS Ferndorf 1465

	HSC 2000 Coburg	TUS Ferndorf
Our model	60%	40%
Market	63%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 60.7 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +4.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.7HSC 2000 Coburg 30.1 · TUS Ferndorf 30.6

Match keys

H2H favours HSC 2000 Coburg: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSC 2000 Coburg	TUS Ferndorf
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31 / 32.9	29.9 / 29.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.2 / 32.8	31.2 / 30.2
Est. result	30	31

Est. total60.7

Line O/U56.5

Diff.4.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

X8.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 5.25 · Est. total: 61.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:21 +30’	1.42	8.50	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HSC 2000 Coburg 5–0–1 TUS Ferndorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSC 2000 Coburg	27-33	TUS Ferndorf
28/11/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TUS Ferndorf	22-25	HSC 2000 Coburg
30/05/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSC 2000 Coburg	28-19	TUS Ferndorf
21/12/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TUS Ferndorf	26-33	HSC 2000 Coburg
24/08/24 Germany DHB Pokal	TUS Ferndorf	31-35	HSC 2000 Coburg
07/05/22 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSC 2000 Coburg	36-27	TUS Ferndorf

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VfL Eintracht Hagen	2	2	0	0	76	42	4
2	VFL Bad Schwartau	2	2	0	0	76	54	4
3	HC Elbflorenz 2006	2	2	0	0	75	62	4
4	TUS Ferndorf	2	2	0	0	65	53	4
5	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	2	2	0	0	60	49	4
6	SC DHFK Leipzig	2	2	0	0	57	51	4
7	1. Vfl Potsdam	2	2	0	0	64	62	4
8	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	2	1	0	1	74	67	2
9	TV Emsdetten	2	1	0	1	60	56	2
10	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	2	1	0	1	56	63	2
11	TSV GWD Minden	2	0	1	1	57	58	1
12	TuSEM Essen	2	0	1	1	63	66	1
13	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	2	0	0	2	56	65	0
14	TV Grosswallstadt	2	0	0	2	62	75	0
15	HSC 2000 Coburg	2	0	0	2	49	66	0
15	TuS N-Lubbecke	2	0	0	2	54	71	0
17	TSV Bayer Dormagen	2	0	0	2	62	80	0
18	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	2	0	0	2	43	69	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSC 2000 Coburg	TUS Ferndorf
VfL Eintracht Hagen	19-35 L	31-30 W
TuSEM Essen	28-37 L	33-35 L
Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	32-33 L	34-27 W
HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	36-32 W	31-35 L
TV 05/07 Huttenberg	36-30 W	31-34 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: TUS Ferndorf (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSC 2000 Coburg

WWLLLWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/09	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	19-35	L
29/08	1. Vfl Potsdam Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-31	L
06/06	TV Grosswallstadt Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-32	D
31/05	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-32	W
24/05	HSG Krefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga	36-34	W
10/05	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-37	L
02/05	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-33	L
24/04	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-33	L
17/04	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	36-32	W
12/04	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	36-30	W

TUS Ferndorf

LWLWLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/09	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-26	W
29/08	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-27	W
06/06	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-35	L
30/05	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-34	L
23/05	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-29	L
09/05	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-35	L
02/05	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-27	W
24/04	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	24-28	L
21/04	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-30	W
17/04	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	24-26	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSC 2000 Coburg vs TUS Ferndorf?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HSC 2000 Coburg 66% · TUS Ferndorf 34%).

How many points are expected in HSC 2000 Coburg vs TUS Ferndorf?

The model estimates 60.7 total points (HSC 2000 Coburg 30.1 · TUS Ferndorf 30.6).