Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 12/09, 18:00

Prediction: TuS N-Lubbecke vs TSV Bayer Dormagen

Team pages: TuS N-Lubbecke · TSV Bayer Dormagen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.6Total

TuS N-Lubbecke32.1

TSV Bayer Dormagen31.6

1X2

68% 32%

TuS N-Lubbecke TSV Bayer Dormagen

Recent form · 10 last

TuS N-Lubbecke 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWWLL

TSV Bayer Dormagen 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLLLL

Head-to-head

TuS N-Lubbecke 5–1 TSV Bayer Dormagen (6 last)

TSV Bayer Dormagen30-34TuS N-Lubbecke
TuS N-Lubbecke34-30TSV Bayer Dormagen
TSV Bayer Dormagen31-25TuS N-Lubbecke
TuS N-Lubbecke35-32TSV Bayer Dormagen
TuS N-Lubbecke23-22TSV Bayer Dormagen
TSV Bayer Dormagen20-25TuS N-Lubbecke

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TuS N-Lubbecke 1488 · TSV Bayer Dormagen 1430

	TuS N-Lubbecke	TSV Bayer Dormagen
Our model	68%	32%
Market	62%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 63.6 points · Bet365 line 63.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.6TuS N-Lubbecke 32.1 · TSV Bayer Dormagen 31.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TuS N-Lubbecke (rating 1488 vs 1430).
TuS N-Lubbecke is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours TuS N-Lubbecke: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TuS N-Lubbecke	TSV Bayer Dormagen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.1 / 31	32.7 / 35.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.2 / 33.2	31.2 / 36.2
Est. result	32	32

Est. total63.6

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.45

X9.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 64.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:04 +45’	1.45	9.00	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TuS N-Lubbecke 5–0–1 TSV Bayer Dormagen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TSV Bayer Dormagen	30-34	TuS N-Lubbecke
30/08/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuS N-Lubbecke	34-30	TSV Bayer Dormagen
30/03/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TSV Bayer Dormagen	31-25	TuS N-Lubbecke
23/10/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuS N-Lubbecke	35-32	TSV Bayer Dormagen
22/12/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuS N-Lubbecke	23-22	TSV Bayer Dormagen
01/09/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TSV Bayer Dormagen	20-25	TuS N-Lubbecke

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VfL Eintracht Hagen	2	2	0	0	76	42	4
2	VFL Bad Schwartau	2	2	0	0	76	54	4
3	HC Elbflorenz 2006	2	2	0	0	75	62	4
4	TUS Ferndorf	2	2	0	0	65	53	4
5	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	2	2	0	0	60	49	4
6	SC DHFK Leipzig	2	2	0	0	57	51	4
7	1. Vfl Potsdam	2	2	0	0	64	62	4
8	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	2	1	0	1	74	67	2
9	TV Emsdetten	2	1	0	1	60	56	2
10	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	2	1	0	1	56	63	2
11	TSV GWD Minden	2	0	1	1	57	58	1
12	TuSEM Essen	2	0	1	1	63	66	1
13	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	2	0	0	2	56	65	0
14	TV Grosswallstadt	2	0	0	2	62	75	0
15	HSC 2000 Coburg	2	0	0	2	49	66	0
15	TuS N-Lubbecke	2	0	0	2	54	71	0
17	TSV Bayer Dormagen	2	0	0	2	62	80	0
18	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	2	0	0	2	43	69	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TuS N-Lubbecke	TSV Bayer Dormagen
HC Elbflorenz 2006	31-37 L	31-38 L
VFL Bad Schwartau	23-34 L	31-42 L
VfL Eintracht Hagen	27-32 L	34-37 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TuS N-Lubbecke

LLWWLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-37	L
28/08	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	23-34	L
06/06	HC Oppenweiler/Backnang Germany 2 Bundesliga	38-33	W
30/05	HSG Krefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-33	W
23/05	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-29	W
08/05	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-32	L
03/05	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-24	W
24/04	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-24	W
17/04	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	22-30	L
11/04	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-34	L

TSV Bayer Dormagen

LLLDWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-42	L
30/08	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-38	L
06/06	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-34	L
31/05	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-34	L
25/05	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-33	L
09/05	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	42-35	W
03/05	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-32	D
27/04	1. Vfl Potsdam Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-35	L
17/04	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-37	L
11/04	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TuS N-Lubbecke vs TSV Bayer Dormagen?

Our model gives 68% to TuS N-Lubbecke.

How many points are expected in TuS N-Lubbecke vs TSV Bayer Dormagen?

The model estimates 63.6 total points (TuS N-Lubbecke 32.1 · TSV Bayer Dormagen 31.6).