Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 18/09, 20:00

Prediction: TUS Ferndorf vs Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06

Team pages: TUS Ferndorf · Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.8Total

TUS Ferndorf32.4

Dessau-Rosslauer HV 0630.4

1X2

61% 39%

TUS Ferndorf Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06

Recent form · 10 last

TUS Ferndorf 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

TUS Ferndorf 2–2–2 Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 (6 last)

TUS Ferndorf27-29Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06
Dessau-Rosslauer HV 0627-20TUS Ferndorf
TUS Ferndorf26-26Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06
Dessau-Rosslauer HV 0631-31TUS Ferndorf
Dessau-Rosslauer HV 0624-28TUS Ferndorf
TUS Ferndorf32-27Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TUS Ferndorf 1467 · Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 1437

	TUS Ferndorf	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06
Our model	64%	36%
Market	53%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 62.8 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +4.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.8TUS Ferndorf 32.4 · Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 30.4

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TUS Ferndorf	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.5 / 30.2	31.7 / 35.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 30.6	29 / 32.8
Est. result	32	30

Est. total62.8

Line O/U58.5

Diff.4.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.70

X8.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 5.25 · Est. total: 63.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:17 +32’	1.70	8.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TUS Ferndorf 2–2–2 Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TUS Ferndorf	27-29	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06
05/10/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	27-20	TUS Ferndorf
11/04/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TUS Ferndorf	26-26	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06
30/10/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	31-31	TUS Ferndorf
06/03/22 Germany 2 Bundesliga	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	24-28	TUS Ferndorf
09/10/21 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TUS Ferndorf	32-27	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VfL Eintracht Hagen	3	3	0	0	108	73	6
2	HC Elbflorenz 2006	3	3	0	0	117	88	6
3	SC DHFK Leipzig	3	3	0	0	90	83	6
4	1. Vfl Potsdam	3	3	0	0	98	93	6
5	VFL Bad Schwartau	3	2	0	1	108	87	4
6	TUS Ferndorf	3	2	0	1	95	84	4
7	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	3	2	0	1	105	95	4
8	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	3	2	0	1	88	80	4
9	TV Emsdetten	3	1	0	2	91	90	2
10	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	3	1	0	2	87	95	2
11	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	3	1	0	2	87	95	2
12	TuS N-Lubbecke	3	1	0	2	83	96	2
13	HSC 2000 Coburg	3	1	0	2	80	96	2
14	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	3	1	0	2	71	96	2
15	TSV GWD Minden	3	0	1	2	84	86	1
16	TuSEM Essen	3	0	1	2	89	108	1
17	TV Grosswallstadt	3	0	0	3	92	106	0
18	TSV Bayer Dormagen	3	0	0	3	87	109	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TUS Ferndorf	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06
TV Emsdetten	31-26 W	25-34 L
Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	34-27 W	31-29 W
TV 05/07 Huttenberg	31-34 L	28-31 L
VfL Eintracht Hagen	31-30 W	31-32 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: TUS Ferndorf (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TUS Ferndorf

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-31	L
04/09	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-26	W
29/08	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-27	W
06/06	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-35	L
30/05	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-34	L
23/05	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-29	L
09/05	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-35	L
02/05	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-27	W
24/04	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	24-28	L
21/04	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-30	W

Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06

LLWLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-32	L
04/09	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-29	W
29/08	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	25-34	L
06/06	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-37	L
29/05	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	24-32	L
22/05	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany 2 Bundesliga	36-38	L
09/05	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	35-42	L
03/05	TV Grosswallstadt Germany 2 Bundesliga	42-41	W
24/04	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-35	L
17/04	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TUS Ferndorf vs Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06?

Our model gives 61% to TUS Ferndorf.

How many points are expected in TUS Ferndorf vs Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06?

The model estimates 62.8 total points (TUS Ferndorf 32.4 · Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 30.4).