Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 16/10, 19:00

Prediction: VFL Bad Schwartau vs 1. Vfl Potsdam

Team pages: VFL Bad Schwartau · 1. Vfl Potsdam

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.8Total

VFL Bad Schwartau31.8

1. Vfl Potsdam30

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

VFL Bad Schwartau 1. Vfl Potsdam

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

VFL Bad Schwartau 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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1. Vfl Potsdam 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWWL

Head-to-head

VFL Bad Schwartau 1–1–4 1. Vfl Potsdam (6 last)

VFL Bad Schwartau36-371. Vfl Potsdam
1. Vfl Potsdam34-25VFL Bad Schwartau
VFL Bad Schwartau29-291. Vfl Potsdam
1. Vfl Potsdam28-27VFL Bad Schwartau
VFL Bad Schwartau26-291. Vfl Potsdam
1. Vfl Potsdam33-35VFL Bad Schwartau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VFL Bad Schwartau 1533 · 1. Vfl Potsdam 1586

	VFL Bad Schwartau	1. Vfl Potsdam
Our model	52%	48%
Market	40%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 61.8 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.8VFL Bad Schwartau 31.8 · 1. Vfl Potsdam 30

Match keys

H2H favours 1. Vfl Potsdam: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	VFL Bad Schwartau	1. Vfl Potsdam
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.2 / 29.4	29.6 / 28.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.4 / 30.6	28.6 / 26.6
Est. result	32	30

Est. total61.8

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

X8.50

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 1.55 · Est. total: 60.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:15	2.30	8.50	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VFL Bad Schwartau 1–1–4 1. Vfl Potsdam

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/02/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	VFL Bad Schwartau	36-37	1. Vfl Potsdam
19/09/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	1. Vfl Potsdam	34-25	VFL Bad Schwartau
27/04/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	VFL Bad Schwartau	29-29	1. Vfl Potsdam
26/11/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	1. Vfl Potsdam	28-27	VFL Bad Schwartau
08/04/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	VFL Bad Schwartau	26-29	1. Vfl Potsdam
05/11/22 Germany 2 Bundesliga	1. Vfl Potsdam	33-35	VFL Bad Schwartau

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Elbflorenz 2006	7	6	0	1	258	204	12
2	VfL Eintracht Hagen	7	6	0	1	234	189	12
3	SC DHFK Leipzig	7	6	0	1	221	203	12
4	1. Vfl Potsdam	7	6	0	1	207	195	12
5	VFL Bad Schwartau	7	5	0	2	238	207	10
6	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	7	3	2	2	218	211	8
7	TSV GWD Minden	7	3	1	3	216	201	7
8	TV Grosswallstadt	7	3	1	3	215	214	7
9	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	7	3	0	4	230	226	6
10	TUS Ferndorf	7	3	0	4	208	206	6
11	TSV Bayer Dormagen	7	3	0	4	202	224	6
12	TV Emsdetten	7	2	1	4	219	221	5
13	TuS N-Lubbecke	7	2	1	4	191	213	5
14	HSC 2000 Coburg	7	1	3	3	189	215	5
15	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	7	2	0	5	219	236	4
16	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	7	2	0	5	186	206	4
17	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	7	2	0	5	186	231	4
18	TuSEM Essen	7	0	1	6	205	240	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VFL Bad Schwartau	1. Vfl Potsdam
Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	33-37 L	29-25 W
TV Emsdetten	33-29 W	34-31 W
TV 05/07 Huttenberg	31-28 W	33-32 W
VfL Eintracht Hagen	33-37 L	25-30 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: VFL Bad Schwartau (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VFL Bad Schwartau

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-37	L
04/10	ASV Hamm-Westfalen Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-26	W
27/09	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-29	W
20/09	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-28	W
12/09	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-33	L
05/09	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	42-31	W
28/08	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-23	W
06/06	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-32	W
31/05	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-37	L
22/05	HC Oppenweiler/Backnang Germany 2 Bundesliga	37-18	W

1. Vfl Potsdam

WDLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	25-30	L
05/10	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-28	W
26/09	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-25	W
19/09	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	23-19	W
14/09	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-31	W
09/09	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-32	W
29/08	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-30	W
06/06	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-34	L
30/05	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-29	D
24/05	TV Grosswallstadt Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VFL Bad Schwartau vs 1. Vfl Potsdam?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (VFL Bad Schwartau 48% · 1. Vfl Potsdam 52%).

How many points are expected in VFL Bad Schwartau vs 1. Vfl Potsdam?

The model estimates 61.8 total points (VFL Bad Schwartau 31.8 · 1. Vfl Potsdam 30).