Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: HSG Nordhorn-Lingen vs TUS Ferndorf

Team pages: HSG Nordhorn-Lingen · TUS Ferndorf

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.7Total

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen32

TUS Ferndorf30.7

1X2

70% 30%

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen TUS Ferndorf

Markets

Over 59.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLDWLD

TUS Ferndorf 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 4–1–1 TUS Ferndorf (6 last)

TUS Ferndorf31-35HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
HSG Nordhorn-Lingen32-28TUS Ferndorf
TUS Ferndorf31-31HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
HSG Nordhorn-Lingen33-27TUS Ferndorf
HSG Nordhorn-Lingen20-25TUS Ferndorf
TUS Ferndorf22-23HSG Nordhorn-Lingen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 1516 · TUS Ferndorf 1436

	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	TUS Ferndorf
Our model	70%	30%
Market	62%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 62.7 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +3.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.7HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 32 · TUS Ferndorf 30.7

Over / Under 59.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~61.8 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HSG Nordhorn-Lingen (rating 1516 vs 1436).
HSG Nordhorn-Lingen is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours HSG Nordhorn-Lingen: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	TUS Ferndorf
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.3 / 30.7	29.9 / 30.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.6 / 32.4	28.6 / 30.6
Est. result	32	31

Est. total62.7

Line O/U59.5

Diff.3.2

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.45

X9.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 2.15 · Est. total: 61.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:10 +8’	1.45	9.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 4–1–1 TUS Ferndorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TUS Ferndorf	31-35	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
05/12/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	32-28	TUS Ferndorf
28/04/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TUS Ferndorf	31-31	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
22/11/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	33-27	TUS Ferndorf
22/04/22 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	20-25	TUS Ferndorf
20/11/21 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TUS Ferndorf	22-23	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC DHFK Leipzig	8	7	0	1	258	236	14
2	HC Elbflorenz 2006	7	6	0	1	258	204	12
3	VfL Eintracht Hagen	8	6	0	2	262	221	12
4	VFL Bad Schwartau	8	6	0	2	267	235	12
5	1. Vfl Potsdam	8	6	0	2	235	224	12
6	TSV GWD Minden	8	4	1	3	248	229	9
7	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	7	3	2	2	218	211	8
8	TV Grosswallstadt	7	3	1	3	215	214	7
9	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	7	3	0	4	230	226	6
10	TUS Ferndorf	7	3	0	4	208	206	6
11	TSV Bayer Dormagen	7	3	0	4	202	224	6
12	TV Emsdetten	7	2	1	4	219	221	5
13	TuS N-Lubbecke	7	2	1	4	191	213	5
14	HSC 2000 Coburg	7	1	3	3	189	215	5
15	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	7	2	0	5	219	236	4
16	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	7	2	0	5	186	206	4
17	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	8	2	0	6	219	268	4
18	TuSEM Essen	7	0	1	6	205	240	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	TUS Ferndorf
TV Emsdetten	34-34 D	31-26 W
VfL Eintracht Hagen	32-37 L	22-25 L
Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	33-29 W	34-27 W
HSC 2000 Coburg	31-31 D	30-31 L
TV 05/07 Huttenberg	28-31 L	31-34 L
TuSEM Essen	32-29 W	33-35 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: TUS Ferndorf (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen

WLWWWLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-34	D
03/10	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-37	L
30/09	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-29	W
18/09	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-31	D
12/09	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-31	L
05/09	ASV Hamm-Westfalen Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-20	W
30/08	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-29	W
06/06	HSG Krefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga	36-28	W
29/05	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-35	L
21/05	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	35-33	W

TUS Ferndorf

LLLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	TV Grosswallstadt Germany 2 Bundesliga	24-32	L
05/10	1. Vfl Potsdam Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-32	L
27/09	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	22-25	L
18/09	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	39-33	W
12/09	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-31	L
04/09	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-26	W
29/08	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-27	W
06/06	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-35	L
30/05	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-34	L
23/05	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	27-29	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HSG Nordhorn-Lingen vs TUS Ferndorf?

Our model gives 70% to HSG Nordhorn-Lingen.

How many points are expected in HSG Nordhorn-Lingen vs TUS Ferndorf?

The model estimates 62.7 total points (HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 32 · TUS Ferndorf 30.7).

Over or under 59.5 points?

Recent history points to over 59.5 points (70%).