Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 23/10, 19:30

Prediction: 1. Vfl Potsdam vs HSG Nordhorn-Lingen

Team pages: 1. Vfl Potsdam · HSG Nordhorn-Lingen

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.2Total

1. Vfl Potsdam30.7

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen29.4

1X2

72% 28%

1. Vfl Potsdam HSG Nordhorn-Lingen

Recent form · 10 last

1. Vfl Potsdam 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWWWLL

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDWLDL

Head-to-head

1. Vfl Potsdam 4–2 HSG Nordhorn-Lingen (6 last)

1. Vfl Potsdam34-23HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
HSG Nordhorn-Lingen33-341. Vfl Potsdam
1. Vfl Potsdam35-28HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
HSG Nordhorn-Lingen25-271. Vfl Potsdam
1. Vfl Potsdam24-26HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
HSG Nordhorn-Lingen28-251. Vfl Potsdam

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 1. Vfl Potsdam 1559 · HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 1478

	1. Vfl Potsdam	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
Our model	70%	30%
Market	65%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 60.2 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.21. Vfl Potsdam 30.7 · HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 29.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 1. Vfl Potsdam (rating 1559 vs 1478).
1. Vfl Potsdam is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours 1. Vfl Potsdam: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	1. Vfl Potsdam	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.4 / 28.7	31.8 / 30.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.4 / 26.2	32 / 32.8
Est. result	31	29

Est. total60.2

Line O/U61.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X9.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.75

2 (+2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 1.2 · Est. total: 60.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:14 +1’	1.37	9.00	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · 1. Vfl Potsdam 4–0–2 HSG Nordhorn-Lingen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	1. Vfl Potsdam	34-23	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
12/10/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	33-34	1. Vfl Potsdam
19/04/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	1. Vfl Potsdam	35-28	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
20/11/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	25-27	1. Vfl Potsdam
05/05/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	1. Vfl Potsdam	24-26	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
27/11/22 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	28-25	1. Vfl Potsdam

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Elbflorenz 2006	8	7	0	1	296	232	14
2	SC DHFK Leipzig	8	7	0	1	258	236	14
3	VfL Eintracht Hagen	8	6	0	2	262	221	12
4	VFL Bad Schwartau	8	6	0	2	267	235	12
5	1. Vfl Potsdam	8	6	0	2	235	224	12
6	TSV GWD Minden	8	4	1	3	248	229	9
7	TV Grosswallstadt	8	4	1	3	248	246	9
8	TUS Ferndorf	8	4	0	4	241	236	8
9	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	8	3	2	3	248	244	8
10	TSV Bayer Dormagen	8	4	0	4	232	253	8
11	TuS N-Lubbecke	8	3	1	4	221	239	7
12	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	8	3	0	5	256	256	6
13	TV Emsdetten	8	2	1	5	244	253	5
14	HSC 2000 Coburg	8	1	3	4	218	245	5
15	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	8	2	0	6	251	269	4
16	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	8	2	0	6	214	244	4
17	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	8	2	0	6	219	268	4
18	TuSEM Essen	8	1	1	6	237	265	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	1. Vfl Potsdam	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen
VfL Eintracht Hagen	25-30 L	32-37 L
TUS Ferndorf	32-28 W	30-33 L
Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	23-19 W	33-29 W
TV Emsdetten	34-31 W	34-34 D
TV 05/07 Huttenberg	33-32 W	28-31 L
HSC 2000 Coburg	31-30 W	31-31 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: 1. Vfl Potsdam (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

1. Vfl Potsdam

DLWWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	VFL Bad Schwartau Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-29	L
09/10	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	25-30	L
05/10	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-28	W
26/09	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06 Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-25	W
19/09	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	23-19	W
14/09	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-31	W
09/09	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-32	W
29/08	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-30	W
06/06	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-34	L
30/05	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-29	D

HSG Nordhorn-Lingen

LWWWLDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-33	L
10/10	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-34	D
03/10	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-37	L
30/09	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-29	W
18/09	HSC 2000 Coburg Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-31	D
12/09	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-31	L
05/09	ASV Hamm-Westfalen Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-20	W
30/08	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-29	W
06/06	HSG Krefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga	36-28	W
29/05	TuSEM Essen Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 1. Vfl Potsdam vs HSG Nordhorn-Lingen?

Our model gives 72% to 1. Vfl Potsdam.

How many points are expected in 1. Vfl Potsdam vs HSG Nordhorn-Lingen?

The model estimates 60.2 total points (1. Vfl Potsdam 30.7 · HSG Nordhorn-Lingen 29.4).