Handball · Poland SuperLiga · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Chrobry Glogow vs MKS Piotrkowianin

Team pages: Chrobry Glogow · MKS Piotrkowianin

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.5Total

Chrobry Glogow31.4

MKS Piotrkowianin28.1

1X2

75% 25%

Chrobry Glogow MKS Piotrkowianin

Markets

Over 55.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Chrobry Glogow 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWLWW

MKS Piotrkowianin 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWWWLL

Head-to-head

Chrobry Glogow 5–1 MKS Piotrkowianin (6 last)

Chrobry Glogow34-25MKS Piotrkowianin
MKS Piotrkowianin29-36Chrobry Glogow
MKS Piotrkowianin33-31Chrobry Glogow
Chrobry Glogow38-21MKS Piotrkowianin
Chrobry Glogow31-28MKS Piotrkowianin
MKS Piotrkowianin26-31Chrobry Glogow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chrobry Glogow 1528 · MKS Piotrkowianin 1463

	Chrobry Glogow	MKS Piotrkowianin
Our model	69%	31%
Market	73%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 59.5 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · +4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.5Chrobry Glogow 31.4 · MKS Piotrkowianin 28.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chrobry Glogow (rating 1528 vs 1463).
Chrobry Glogow is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours Chrobry Glogow: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chrobry Glogow	MKS Piotrkowianin
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.9 / 28.4	28.6 / 33
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 27	31.6 / 34.6
Est. result	31	28

Est. total59.5

Line O/U55.5

Diff.4

Over / Under75% / 25%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.25

X10.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.90

2 (+4.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.80

Under 55.51.90

Diff.: 3.95 · Est. total: 59.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	5.00 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:16 +41’	1.25	10.00	5.00
12:33 +25’	1.25	10.00	4.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chrobry Glogow 5–0–1 MKS Piotrkowianin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Poland SuperLiga	Chrobry Glogow	34-25	MKS Piotrkowianin
29/11/25 Poland SuperLiga	MKS Piotrkowianin	29-36	Chrobry Glogow
21/12/24 Poland SuperLiga	MKS Piotrkowianin	33-31	Chrobry Glogow
28/09/24 Poland SuperLiga	Chrobry Glogow	38-21	MKS Piotrkowianin
06/03/24 Poland Cup	Chrobry Glogow	31-28	MKS Piotrkowianin
25/02/24 Poland SuperLiga	MKS Piotrkowianin	26-31	Chrobry Glogow

Standings · Poland SuperLiga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chrobry Glogow	3	3	0	96	65	9
2	KPR Legionowo	2	2	0	56	54	6
3	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	83	51	6
4	KS Kielce	2	2	0	83	61	6
5	Wybrzeze Gdansk	3	2	1	99	86	6
6	Gwardia Opole	2	1	1	53	52	3
7	WKS Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	76	83	3
8	MMTS Kwidzyn	2	1	1	53	70	3
9	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	2	0	2	62	69	0
10	Stal Mielec	2	0	2	49	59	0
11	MKS Kalisz	2	0	2	55	71	0
12	MKS Piotrkowianin	3	0	3	72	116	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chrobry Glogow	MKS Piotrkowianin
WKS Slask Wroclaw	24-19 W	21-29 L
KS Azoty Pulawy	34-32 W	40-37 W
KS Kielce	25-37 L	30-46 L
Gwardia Opole	26-22 W	27-28 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Chrobry Glogow (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chrobry Glogow

WLWWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	WKS Slask Wroclaw Poland SuperLiga	24-19	W
05/09	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	31-25	W
10/05	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	28-33	L
02/05	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	28-22	W
29/04	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	34-36	L
26/04	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	25-33	L
11/04	MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga	34-25	W
04/04	KS Azoty Pulawy Poland SuperLiga	34-32	W
15/03	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	25-37	L
09/03	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	26-22	W

MKS Piotrkowianin

LLLLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	30-46	L
06/09	WKS Slask Wroclaw Poland SuperLiga	21-29	L
30/05	Pogon Szczecin Poland SuperLiga	33-30	W
24/05	Pogon Szczecin Poland SuperLiga	34-31	W
11/05	KS Azoty Pulawy Poland SuperLiga	40-37	W
06/05	KPR Legionowo Poland SuperLiga	20-36	L
29/04	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	27-28	L
22/04	Zaglebie Lubin Poland SuperLiga	31-32	L
11/04	Chrobry Glogow Poland SuperLiga	25-34	L
28/03	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	25-27	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chrobry Glogow vs MKS Piotrkowianin?

Our model gives 75% to Chrobry Glogow.

How many points are expected in Chrobry Glogow vs MKS Piotrkowianin?

The model estimates 59.5 total points (Chrobry Glogow 31.4 · MKS Piotrkowianin 28.1).