Handball · Poland SuperLiga · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski vs KS Kielce

Team pages: KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski · KS Kielce

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.2Total

KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski27.1

KS Kielce34.1

1X2

15% 85%

KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski KS Kielce

Recent form · 10 last

KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDLLLW

KS Kielce 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski 0–6 KS Kielce (6 last)

KS Kielce30-23KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski26-34KS Kielce
KS Kielce37-30KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski24-38KS Kielce
KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski26-36KS Kielce
KS Kielce42-22KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski 1474 · KS Kielce 1665

	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	KS Kielce
Our model	33%	67%
Market	3%	95%

Estimated total (ours) 61.2 points · Bet365 line 66.5 · -5.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.2KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski 27.1 · KS Kielce 34.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KS Kielce (rating 1474 vs 1665).
KS Kielce is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours KS Kielce: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	KS Kielce
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28 / 30.1	37 / 25.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 32	37.6 / 27
Est. result	27	34

Est. total61.2

Line O/U66.5

Diff.5.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

135.00

X35.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+13.5)1.85

2 (-13.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 66.51.85

Under 66.51.85

Diff.: 6.15 · Est. total: 60.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	35.00 → 35.00	Bet365 35.00
X	35.00 → 35.00	Bet365 35.00
2	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:07 +5’	35.00	35.00	1.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski 0–0–6 KS Kielce

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Poland SuperLiga	KS Kielce	30-23	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
03/05/26 Poland SuperLiga	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	26-34	KS Kielce
08/03/26 Poland SuperLiga	KS Kielce	37-30	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski
25/10/25 Poland SuperLiga	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	24-38	KS Kielce
20/05/25 Poland SuperLiga	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	26-36	KS Kielce
15/05/25 Poland SuperLiga	KS Kielce	42-22	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski

Standings · Poland SuperLiga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wisla Plock	3	3	0	120	75	9
2	KS Kielce	3	3	0	122	83	9
3	Chrobry Glogow	3	3	0	96	65	9
4	KPR Legionowo	3	2	1	80	91	6
5	Wybrzeze Gdansk	3	2	1	99	86	6
6	Gwardia Opole	3	2	1	81	79	6
7	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	3	1	2	93	99	3
8	WKS Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	76	83	3
9	MMTS Kwidzyn	3	1	2	75	109	3
10	Stal Mielec	3	0	3	76	87	0
11	MKS Kalisz	3	0	3	85	102	0
12	MKS Piotrkowianin	3	0	3	72	116	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	KS Kielce
MKS Kalisz	31-30 W	37-31 W
Wisla Plock	32-37 L	36-27 W
MMTS Kwidzyn	27-33 L	39-22 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KS Kielce (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski

WWLLLDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	31-30	W
12/09	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	32-37	L
05/09	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	30-32	L
02/06	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	24-33	L
23/05	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	28-28	D
08/05	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	23-30	L
03/05	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	26-34	L
27/04	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	27-33	L
23/04	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	31-23	W
13/04	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	28-21	W

KS Kielce

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/09	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	39-22	W
12/09	MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga	46-30	W
05/09	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	37-31	W
31/05	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	36-27	W
24/05	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	30-25	W
08/05	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	30-23	W
03/05	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	34-26	W
25/04	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	40-24	W
22/04	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	37-21	W
12/04	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	41-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski vs KS Kielce?

Our model gives 85% to KS Kielce.

How many points are expected in KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski vs KS Kielce?

The model estimates 61.2 total points (KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski 27.1 · KS Kielce 34.1).