Handball · Poland SuperLiga · 26/09, 20:15

Prediction: KPR Legionowo vs MKS Kalisz

Team pages: KPR Legionowo · MKS Kalisz

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.2Total

KPR Legionowo30.5

MKS Kalisz26.7

1X2

59% 41%

KPR Legionowo MKS Kalisz

Recent form · 10 last

KPR Legionowo 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWWWL

MKS Kalisz 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWLLL

Head-to-head

KPR Legionowo 1–1–4 MKS Kalisz (6 last)

KPR Legionowo22-22MKS Kalisz
MKS Kalisz27-25KPR Legionowo
MKS Kalisz25-24KPR Legionowo
KPR Legionowo27-26MKS Kalisz
MKS Kalisz29-28KPR Legionowo
KPR Legionowo27-34MKS Kalisz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KPR Legionowo 1540 · MKS Kalisz 1464

	KPR Legionowo	MKS Kalisz
Our model	70%	30%
Market	46%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 57.2 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.2KPR Legionowo 30.5 · MKS Kalisz 26.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KPR Legionowo (rating 1540 vs 1464).
H2H favours MKS Kalisz: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	KPR Legionowo	MKS Kalisz
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.3 / 27.4	27.4 / 32.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 27	30.6 / 31.6
Est. result	31	27

Est. total57.2

Line O/U59.5

Diff.2.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

X8.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.80

Under 59.51.90

Diff.: 0.7 · Est. total: 58.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +16’	1.95	8.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KPR Legionowo 1–1–4 MKS Kalisz

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/12/25 Poland SuperLiga	KPR Legionowo	22-22	MKS Kalisz
19/11/25 Poland Cup	MKS Kalisz	27-25	KPR Legionowo
15/09/25 Poland SuperLiga	MKS Kalisz	25-24	KPR Legionowo
19/03/25 Poland SuperLiga	KPR Legionowo	27-26	MKS Kalisz
25/10/24 Poland SuperLiga	MKS Kalisz	29-28	KPR Legionowo
17/12/23 Poland SuperLiga	KPR Legionowo	27-34	MKS Kalisz

Standings · Poland SuperLiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wisla Plock	3	3	0	120	75	9
2	KS Kielce	3	3	0	122	83	9
3	Chrobry Glogow	3	3	0	96	65	9
4	KPR Legionowo	3	2	1	80	91	6
5	Wybrzeze Gdansk	3	2	1	99	86	6
6	Gwardia Opole	3	2	1	81	79	6
7	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	3	1	2	93	99	3
8	WKS Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	76	83	3
9	MMTS Kwidzyn	3	1	2	75	109	3
10	Stal Mielec	3	0	3	76	87	0
11	MKS Kalisz	3	0	3	85	102	0
12	MKS Piotrkowianin	3	0	3	72	116	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KPR Legionowo	MKS Kalisz
Wisla Plock	24-37 L	27-37 L
Zaglebie Lubin	33-25 W	28-25 W
KS Kielce	28-38 L	31-37 L
KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	20-25 L	30-31 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MKS Kalisz (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KPR Legionowo

LLWWWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	24-37	L
13/09	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	22-21	W
06/09	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	34-33	W
10/05	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	28-24	W
06/05	MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga	36-20	W
02/05	KS Azoty Pulawy Poland SuperLiga	37-27	W
27/04	Zaglebie Lubin Poland SuperLiga	33-25	W
11/04	KS Azoty Pulawy Poland SuperLiga	41-24	W
04/04	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	28-38	L
30/03	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	20-25	L

MKS Kalisz

WLLLLWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	30-31	L
09/09	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	24-34	L
05/09	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	31-37	L
10/05	Chrobry Glogow Poland SuperLiga	33-28	W
02/05	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	35-28	W
25/04	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	24-40	L
22/04	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	21-37	L
13/04	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	21-28	L
04/04	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	27-37	L
28/03	Zaglebie Lubin Poland SuperLiga	28-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KPR Legionowo vs MKS Kalisz?

Our model gives 59% to KPR Legionowo.

How many points are expected in KPR Legionowo vs MKS Kalisz?

The model estimates 57.2 total points (KPR Legionowo 30.5 · MKS Kalisz 26.7).