Handball · Poland SuperLiga · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: MKS Piotrkowianin vs MMTS Kwidzyn

Team pages: MKS Piotrkowianin · MMTS Kwidzyn

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.1Total

MKS Piotrkowianin30.4

MMTS Kwidzyn30.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

MKS Piotrkowianin MMTS Kwidzyn

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 63.5 points 74%

Recent form · 10 last

MKS Piotrkowianin 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWLLL

MMTS Kwidzyn 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWLWL

Head-to-head

MKS Piotrkowianin 0–3–3 MMTS Kwidzyn (6 last)

MMTS Kwidzyn36-32MKS Piotrkowianin
MKS Piotrkowianin25-25MMTS Kwidzyn
MMTS Kwidzyn28-28MKS Piotrkowianin
MMTS Kwidzyn28-27MKS Piotrkowianin
MKS Piotrkowianin31-31MMTS Kwidzyn
MMTS Kwidzyn32-31MKS Piotrkowianin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MKS Piotrkowianin 1461 · MMTS Kwidzyn 1487

	MKS Piotrkowianin	MMTS Kwidzyn
Our model	56%	44%
Market	36%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 61.1 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.1MKS Piotrkowianin 30.4 · MMTS Kwidzyn 30.7

Over / Under 63.5Under · 74%recent trend · ~59.3 pts · strength 4

Match keys

H2H favours MMTS Kwidzyn: 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MKS Piotrkowianin	MMTS Kwidzyn
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.2 / 34.4	27.1 / 31.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.8 / 35.4	26.6 / 34
Est. result	30	31

Est. total61.1

Line O/U63.5

Diff.2.4

Over / Under26% / 74%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.50

X8.50

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.75

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 2.95 · Est. total: 60.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:10 +55’	2.50	8.50	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MKS Piotrkowianin 0–3–3 MMTS Kwidzyn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 Poland SuperLiga	MMTS Kwidzyn	36-32	MKS Piotrkowianin
02/09/25 Poland SuperLiga	MKS Piotrkowianin	25-25	MMTS Kwidzyn
17/05/25 Poland SuperLiga	MMTS Kwidzyn	28-28	MKS Piotrkowianin
15/02/25 Poland SuperLiga	MMTS Kwidzyn	28-27	MKS Piotrkowianin
02/10/24 Poland SuperLiga	MKS Piotrkowianin	31-31	MMTS Kwidzyn
26/07/24 Club Friendlies	MMTS Kwidzyn	32-31	MKS Piotrkowianin

Standings · Poland SuperLiga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wisla Plock	3	3	0	120	75	9
2	KS Kielce	3	3	0	122	83	9
3	Chrobry Glogow	3	3	0	96	65	9
4	KPR Legionowo	3	2	1	80	91	6
5	Wybrzeze Gdansk	3	2	1	99	86	6
6	Gwardia Opole	3	2	1	81	79	6
7	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	3	1	2	93	99	3
8	WKS Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	76	83	3
9	MMTS Kwidzyn	3	1	2	75	109	3
10	Stal Mielec	3	0	3	76	87	0
11	MKS Kalisz	3	0	3	85	102	0
12	MKS Piotrkowianin	3	0	3	72	116	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MKS Piotrkowianin	MMTS Kwidzyn
KS Kielce	30-46 L	22-39 L
Gwardia Opole	27-28 L	22-29 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MKS Piotrkowianin (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MKS Piotrkowianin

LLLLWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Chrobry Glogow Poland SuperLiga	21-41	L
12/09	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	30-46	L
06/09	WKS Slask Wroclaw Poland SuperLiga	21-29	L
30/05	Pogon Szczecin Poland SuperLiga	33-30	W
24/05	Pogon Szczecin Poland SuperLiga	34-31	W
11/05	KS Azoty Pulawy Poland SuperLiga	40-37	W
06/05	KPR Legionowo Poland SuperLiga	20-36	L
29/04	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	27-28	L
22/04	Zaglebie Lubin Poland SuperLiga	31-32	L
11/04	Chrobry Glogow Poland SuperLiga	25-34	L

MMTS Kwidzyn

WWLLWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/09	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	22-39	L
09/09	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	34-24	W
04/09	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	19-46	L
09/05	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	30-26	W
02/05	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	28-35	L
27/04	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	33-27	W
23/04	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	23-31	L
06/04	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	22-29	L
29/03	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	30-28	W
13/03	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	30-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MKS Piotrkowianin vs MMTS Kwidzyn?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (MKS Piotrkowianin 47% · MMTS Kwidzyn 53%).

How many points are expected in MKS Piotrkowianin vs MMTS Kwidzyn?

The model estimates 61.1 total points (MKS Piotrkowianin 30.4 · MMTS Kwidzyn 30.7).

Over or under 63.5 points?

Recent history points to under 63.5 points (74%).